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Maybe I'm missing something....but what's so bad about this trade?
He gets Shields (top tier pitcher) and Davis (solid mid-rotational pitcher....and also married to my ex g/f's best friend, he's a pretty cool guy) and gives up one top level prospect and 3 mid-level prospects.
The Royals are close to competing in a weak AL Central and now they have their ace pitcher, plus another guy to fill in the rotation. WIth both their lineup and pitching in need of serious upgrades I don't see why this is such a negative. I realize Shields is 30 and Davis is (I believe) 27, but there's also no guarantee that Odorizzi is anything above average and they have to give up a bat like Myers to get a top level starting pitcher.
Maybe you guys can sway my vote, but without looking too far into the two lower-level prospects or waiting for the Rays' PTBNL, what's so bad about this deal?
For one, Wade Davis wasn't even average in his two full seasons as a starter. He did well out of the bullpen last year, but relief pitching was the only thing that didn't suck for the Royals last year.
Also, Shields will be 31 in like a week and only has two years left on his contract. Even if Hosmer/Moustakas/Cain all progress well, what's the ceiling for the Royals, maybe like 83-85 wins? They're basically trading six years of team control of a top 10 prospect for a chance to maybe potentially compete for a sh*tty division in the next two years, only to return to sucking in 2015 and beyond. If you trade a prospect like Myers you absolutely need someone with more than two years left on their contract. And preferably not someone on the wrong side of 30.
See, this is the Royals we're talking about. They haven't competed since the eighties! A trade that can bring them some semblance of respectability is worth a shot, no?
And yes, they sacrificed their top prospect, but remember that Alex Gordon was a much bigger prospect than Myers is at the same point in Gordon's hype and he's been good, but not great. You know you're getting an ace with well over 200 IP for a guy who may very well end up letting you down the way Gordon has.
So, would I want to trade a top prospect for a 30 y/o pitcher? No. But would I strongly consider it if I was running the Royals, needed to get people to actually show up to games and see that the division I play in is the weakest in baseball (or in the discussion)? Yeah, I would. I may not pull the trigger, but I'd at least have a lengthy conversation with the rest of the front office about it.
