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Post by potentpotables on Aug 30, 2018 8:48:54 GMT -5
Really, ZIG, without looking at the vote data in that light in depth yet, I'd think Thor would have to rise to the top of my list. I sort of wonder whether that information would totally invert the list actually.
But I don't think you'd ask that question if you were mafia.
Really, ZIG, without looking at the vote data in that light in depth yet, I'd think Thor would have to rise to the top of my list. I sort of wonder whether that information would totally invert the list actually.
But I don't think you'd ask that question if you were mafia.
Well I think we have 3 potential scenarios:
Scenario 1 Kanye and LD both Mafia Under this scenario, I could see mafia being Kanye - LD - Thor / LLL
Scenario 2 Neither Kanye nor LD are Mafia. This is what I alluded to in my post last night about SFA potentially being inspector. Under this scenario, I could see mafia being some sort of combination of Thor / Danbob / Potent / Maddog. Which in this case, every Mafia member is alive and we MUST kill one today.
Scenario 3 One of Kanye / LD is Mafia. This one is actually the most unknown and probably has the most potential varistion depending on if it’s Kanye or LD. If it’s Kanye, I could see a Kanye - LLL - ? If it’s LD, LD - ? - ?. Probably need to do more research.
Alright I'm going to go ahead and say it because I fear there's still 3 mafia left. I'm the inspector and my given name is potent. My night 1 guess was zig because potent saved him at the end of day 1. Zig is town. This leads me to believe that kanye was also town because potent didn't have to switch onto him. Day 2 i thought there was definetly a mafia between thor or LD. When potnet had the final vote for LD I guessed thor. However, Thor was also town (and LD is most likely town as well). This means we pretty much have to get a mafia today. here is where my head is at rn.
Dan- inspector
potent - mafia given name
Zig - town n1 guess
Thor - town n2 guess
So basically, there is most likely 2 mafia between these players.
Pablo- suspicious. When I brought it up that the jaz whack implicated pablo, it was brushed aside. I didn't forget though. Alongside of flying under the radar all game, He was also the one to stack onto thor with me in day 2. Ensuring he would be in the runoff.
Mad dog - slight town read. My suspicions of mad dog were connected to my suspicions of thor because thor essiestally saved him d1 with his switch to zig. However, now that I know thor is town, I have a town read on mad dog because I've generally agreed with his analysis all game. However, maybe both mad dog and potent switched together as mafia in the day 1 finale.
LLL - slightly suspicious. She basically was the most powerful presence on day 1 with the excuse of not voting off a new player. I know that doesn't make her mafia, but at this point I can see her "power" on day 1 being used for mafia misdirection.
Right now I think the most likely combo is Potent - pablo - LLL.
Alright I'm going to go ahead and say it because I fear there's still 3 mafia left. I'm the inspector and my given name is potent. My night 1 guess was zig because potent saved him at the end of day 1. Zig is town. This leads me to believe that kanye was also town because potent didn't have to switch onto him. Day 2 i thought there was definetly a mafia between thor or LD. When potnet had the final vote for LD I guessed thor. However, Thor was also town (and LD is most likely town as well). This means we pretty much have to get a mafia today. here is where my head is at rn.
Dan- inspector
potent - mafia given name
Zig - town n1 guess
Thor - town n2 guess
So basically, there is most likely 2 mafia between these players.
Pablo- suspicious. When I brought it up that the jaz whack implicated pablo, it was brushed aside. I didn't forget though. Alongside of flying under the radar all game, He was also the one to stack onto thor with me in day 2. Ensuring he would be in the runoff.
Mad dog - slight town read. My suspicions of mad dog were connected to my suspicions of thor because thor essiestally saved him d1 with his switch to zig. However, now that I know thor is town, I have a town read on mad dog because I've generally agreed with his analysis all game. However, maybe both mad dog and potent switched together as mafia in the day 1 finale.
LLL - slightly suspicious. She basically was the most powerful presence on day 1 with the excuse of not voting off a new player. I know that doesn't make her mafia, but at this point I can see her "power" on day 1 being used for mafia misdirection.
Right now I think the most likely combo is Potent - pablo - LLL.
Dan > Potent
Well, I didn't think the 2nd or 3rd mafia would out himself like that.
Post by potentpotables on Aug 30, 2018 10:48:03 GMT -5
Really, Dan808, this is a pretty lazy fake. I'm an easy target because I switched my vote in the D1 final runoff, and then was the deciding vote in the D2 runoff.
So 3 Options: 1. Danbob is telling the truth and is inspector. 2. Danbob is faking and is Mafia because he is the last Mafia and they are in deep trouble. 3. Danbob is faking but all 3 Mafia are alive and this an attempt to get a win on Day 3.
To anyone doubting my claim look back at my posts. I’ve been hinting at potent when I get the chance. I was scared day 1 for zig literally because potent had his vote on him before the switch. Kanye even caught on a little that I wasn’t voting for him - I was just not voting for zig.
last time dan was faking he named inspector (me) as town, so idk I'll buy for now. i'll try to read more tonight, but this is pretty much where my heads been all game, not sure if I'm being played.
last time dan was faking he named inspector (me) as town, so idk I'll buy for now. i'll try to read more tonight, but this is pretty much where my heads been all game, not sure if I'm being played.
That was a fun game. Fun fact: potent was mafia that game too lol
To anyone doubting my claim look back at my posts. I’ve been hinting at potent when I get the chance. I was scared day 1 for zig literally because potent had his vote on him before the switch. Kanye even caught on a little that I wasn’t voting for him - I was just not voting for zig.
Why wait 24 hours into Day 3 to reveal? Also, your reason for revealing is that you feared 3 mafia are alive, but you’d reveal regardless. And your reasoning for guessing me Night 1 makes no sense; because Potent “saved” me? How about the other 3 saves? It seems odd because you were fully in the corner of people are using bullshit excuses in order to get rid of ZIG, yet when a player agrees that people are using BS excuses and switches to “save” me (Potent or LD) that suddenly rubs you the wrong way? Also, if Potent is your given name and “saved” me, why wouldn’t you rectify that by switching back onto me? There were already 4 saves, a 5th wouldn’t have looked crazy.
To anyone doubting my claim look back at my posts. I’ve been hinting at potent when I get the chance. I was scared day 1 for zig literally because potent had his vote on him before the switch. Kanye even caught on a little that I wasn’t voting for him - I was just not voting for zig.
Why wait 24 hours into Day 3 to reveal? Also, your reason for revealing is that you feared 3 mafia are alive, but you’d reveal regardless. And your reasoning for guessing me Night 1 makes no sense; because Potent “saved” me? How about the other 3 saves? It seems odd because you were fully in the corner of people are using bullshit excuses in order to get rid of ZIG, yet when a player agrees that people are using BS excuses and switches to “save” me (Potent or LD) that suddenly rubs you the wrong way? Also, if Potent is your given name and “saved” me, why wouldn’t you rectify that by switching back onto me? There were already 4 saves, a 5th wouldn’t have looked crazy.
First, I had to reveal because we have to get a mafia (potent) into the runoff. If three mafia are indeed alive then we need to get this right.
My night one guess for you makes total sense in my mind so I’m not sure what to say. He had the final vote switch AND had stayed on his opening vote until the switch. It wasn’t an insignificant move. I’m also not sure how you could say that me switching wouldnt have looked crazy. There’s a thousand different ways that senerio could have played out and I was trying to keep a low profile. I also had the advantage of asking about you to gain more information.
In regards to why did I guessed you when I was in your camp during the day. the answer is quite simply potent. I had a town read until he switched and that made me question your role.
Based on my Scenario post right before the Danbob reveal, I am expanding on that based on the Inspector reveal.
Scenario 1: Kanye & LD are Mafia
Scenario 1A: Danbob is Inspector Easy Scenario: Mafia is: Kanye - LD - Potent
Scenario 1B: Danbob is lying Easy Scenario: Mafia is: Kanye - LD - Danbob
Scenario 2: Both Kanye & LD are Town
Scenario 2A: Danbob is Inspector Under this scenario, confirmed townies would be as follows: Jaz, SFA, ZIG, Thor, Kanye, LD, Danbob.
That leaves Mafia as Potent and 2 of LLL, Pablo, Maddog
Possible Mafia Combinations: Potent - LLL - Pablo Potent - LLL - Maddog Potent - Pablo - Maddog
Scenario 2B: Danbob is lying This scenarios is a cluster fuck. Town would be Jaz, SFA, Kanye, LD. Mafia would be Danbob with 2 of the following 6: Thor, ZIG, LLL, Pablo, Maddog, Potent. I know I’m town, and honestly, if Danbob was faking a reveal, he probably wouldn’t want to push for the death of his own in Potent as they are just one death away from winning. That leaves me with mafia of Danbob and 2 of Thor, LLL, Pablo, Maddog.
Possible Mafia Combinations: Danbob - Thor - LLL Danbob - Thor - Pablo Danbob - Thor - Maddog Danbob - LLL - Pablo Danbob - LLL - Maddog Danbob - Pablo - Maddog
Scenario 3: One of Kanye & LD is Mafia
Scenario 3A: Danbob is Inspector Town would be Jaz, SFA, ZIG, Thor, one of Kanye/LD, Danbob. Mafia would be Potent, one of Kanye/LD, and one of LLL, Pablo, Maddog.
Scenario 3B: Danbob is lying This scenario is also a bit messy but not as bad as 2B. Town would be Jaz, SFA, and one of Kanye/LD. Mafia would be Danbob, one of Kanye/LD, and then one of LLL, Pablo, Maddog, ZIG, Thor, Potent. I know I’m town, however, unlike 2B, we can’t rule out Potent as being Mafia.
The reality is that in 5 of the 6 scenarios, we are guaranteed a Day 4 (1A, 1B, 2A, 3A, 3B). Based on thinking for a strategy moving forward, scenarios 1A and 1B resolve themselves on Day 4. So that really leaves scenarios 2B as our most immediate concern. I personally don’t believe we should kill off a supposed inspector, even if their claim is flimsy. And under scenario 2B, Potent is being falsely accused, so that leaves a The Options for today as follows:
Thor, LLL, Pablo, Maddog. When taking account the other scenarios, Thor is the least of concerns.
So really, LLL, Pablo, Maddog should be our option.
During my re-read post reveal, there was way to much consistency in Maddog and Danbob’s posts, suspicions and the fact that Danbob has seemingly cleared him, makes me think Maddog is the correct target.
During my re-read post reveal, there was way to much consistency in Maddog and Danbob’s posts, suspicions and the fact that Danbob has seemingly cleared him, makes me think Maddog is the correct target.
ZIG > Maddog (locked)
I haven’t cleared him? I guessed Thor and yourself...
During my re-read post reveal, there was way to much consistency in Maddog and Danbob’s posts, suspicions and the fact that Danbob has seemingly cleared him, makes me think Maddog is the correct target.
ZIG > Maddog (locked)
I haven’t cleared him? I guessed Thor and yourself...
You said you had a town read on him in both your reveal post and on D2R2.
And based on your reveal post you think 3 Mafia could be alive. So if that’s the case, then the only remaining options for Mafia along with Potent are 2 of LLL, Pablo, and Maddog. So I find it suspicious that an inspector would seemingly give a Town read to someone when that someone is one of the few remaining options.
I haven’t cleared him? I guessed Thor and yourself...
You said you had a town read on him in both your reveal post and on D2R2.
And based on your reveal post you think 3 Mafia could be alive. So if that’s the case, then the only remaining options for Mafia along with Potent are 2 of LLL, Pablo, and Maddog. So I find it suspicious that an inspector would seemingly give a Town read to someone when that someone is one of the few remaining options.
Yeah... and? Someone out of those three has to be town. Right now I’m leaning mad dog. You’re purposely being obtuse because you’ve already made up your mind. Having a town lean is not the same as clearing someone.
zig and his dumb lists. idk what to say there. I will say that me being mafia with kanye is dumb af.
Clearly you didn’t bother to read then, Einstein. There are a ton of scenarios where you could be Mafia regardless of Dambob’s role, and I outlined all of them. If you are Town then, instead of just laughing at my work, why don’t you put something out there?