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Post by Jake Jortles on Dec 21, 2020 13:05:28 GMT -5
So there are a couple ways to play a Day 4 like this where we don't have much to work with.
1. Like any other Day. Try to kill the most likely person to be Mafia.
2. Conservative. Try to give yourself the most likely opportunity to make it to Day 5, where anything can happen in the clutch.
I'm always tempted to go for route 2. The worst possible scenario right now is that there are 2 Mafia left and if we get this wrong the Town loses.
While I'm extremely unclear on Maddog, the fact that everyone just piled on him makes me believe that if Maddog is Mafia, he is alone. If he had a teammate with him, they would be going for the win right here right now, and you would have seen someone at least vote for someone else. There would be no reason to "distance" here with the W in sight and no more Inspector information coming to us. I feel really confident that if Maddog is mafia and we let him live we at least still get a Day 5. But idk if that is the right way to do this tbh.
One combination I think we can eliminate is KPO and Mardude. I'm trying to look at this from the worst case scenario, so looking at this day 1 tally after Theo revealed and assuming Dan and Silver are Town.
LD - 3 (KPO, mardude, Theo)
Silver - 6 (Pepe, Dan, rummy, jortles, mad dog, LD)
Jortles - 2 (silver, truevine)
No chance that both Mardude and KPO were Mafia and stayed on LD with Theo after LD revealed that he was Inspector. If they did that's pretty damn weird. I agree with something Dan said that they would have likely went over to Silver.
if it's not jortles: I think people made some good points about pepe maybe not being mafia, but if it's some combo of theo, pepe, mardude, kpo, idk that theo, especially being offed day one could carry the whole team behind the scenes in chat.
would make a lot of sense that he/mardude would stay back as much as they have.
theo, mardude, kpo, also could work with them just not having to worry about distancing later
bottom line I have no idea what to get from the rest of the gang, but jortles making it to day 5 without being mafia seems unlikely, especially with the potential of getting a full 3 new players on day 5 (assuming one of me and jortles are the exile > whack)
1. Truevine > Jortles (locked) 2. Jortles > Theo (locked) 3. Mardude > Truevine 4. Dan > Theo (locked) 5. Rummy > Theo (locked) 6. Mardude > Truevine > Theo (locked) 7. Maddog > Theo (locked) 8. KPO > Theo (locked) 9. Theo > Theo (locked) 10. Pepe > Theo (locked)
On Chapo last week they explained Mafia to Slavoj Zizek, specifically that there are role reveals after exiles.
We should do that from now on. Those guys are cool.
Id be down to try that. Its be interesting to see the game become really difficult for mafia where you were impressed by a mafia win instead of it being the other way around.
On Chapo last week they explained Mafia to Slavoj Zizek, specifically that there are role reveals after exiles.
We should do that from now on. Those guys are cool.
Id be down to try that. Its be interesting to see the game become really difficult for mafia where you were impressed by a mafia win instead of it being the other way around.
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
I think we should try it. I think our Mafia in general has got too sloppy / cocky because its so easy to win regardless of how careless you play as mafia.
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
And instead of saying all of your goodbyes - let them know you realize that life goes fast - It's hard to make the good things last-you realize the sun doesn't go down - It's just an illusion caused by the world spinning round
1. Truevine > Jortles (locked) 2. Jortles > Theo (locked) 3. Mardude > Truevine 4. Dan > Theo (locked) 5. Rummy > Theo (locked) 6. Mardude > Truevine > Theo (locked) 7. Maddog > Theo (locked) 8. KPO > Theo (locked) 9. Theo > Theo (locked) 10. Pepe > Theo (locked)
Wow jortles has been right so far about pretty much everything so far including his own death haha. Definitely puts more credence into earlier when he said he felt Pepe was the mafia left. Also I just don’t buy his whole I’m just reading and learning thing. Being around this board along enough I know he’s obviously a quick enough guy to pick up on this game to be able to contribute more than he has. Only explanation would be he was told to sit back and ride it out for fear of accidentally slipping up. KPOs exchange earlier about having jortles text him if anything changes voting wise makes me totally think he’s town. That’d be some seriously amazing playing for a first timer to play jortles this long into thinking he’s town to be texting him about voting. Plus I’ve voted Pepe before.
And instead of saying all of your goodbyes - let them know you realize that life goes fast - It's hard to make the good things last-you realize the sun doesn't go down - It's just an illusion caused by the world spinning round
Not at all. I had said I’ve voted for you and I’ve voted for maddog before as well. Both for the same reasons actually. The whole sitting back inoffensive thing. Which guess who also said they were a huge fan of voting that way because it was usually right. That’s right. Jortles the prophesizer
And instead of saying all of your goodbyes - let them know you realize that life goes fast - It's hard to make the good things last-you realize the sun doesn't go down - It's just an illusion caused by the world spinning round