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Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
Looking at this breakdown - in any group of 4, the odds say there is 1.33 mafia. We have a group of 4 here in the people not voting for me - Tranter, Maddog, Silver, Potent. You'll all see I am town after I am exiled, which makes me feel OK saying the rest of this, because mafia won't be able to use it against me with town knowing I'm town.
That means there are likely two mafia that are currently on me. That group can be broken into two - those who were on me before D1R3, and those who moved to me during D1R3.
Dan/Theo/Rummy were the ones that took me to this runoff. It's likely one of the three of them is mafia. It's possible more than one. With all of the info we have at this point, I'd personally place the Dan/Theo/Rummy combo lower on the list of possible trios. Always can change with more info. I think I'm most suspicious of Dan in this group from a gut read.
Those who have moved to me form another group of four - Teddy/KPO/Jortles/NonCum. I think Teddy is town, as a gut read. I'm suspicious of Jortles, because of his clearing of both Maddog and NonCum. The clearing of Maddog doesn't speak to Maddog's status, except that I'd say it's probable that Jortles and Maddog are not town together.
The whack will probably come from those who are currently voting for me, because it's lopsided and harder to pare down. That would be less true, of course, if inspector comes out and reveals information that doesn't agree with this. This is my analysis only knowing my role as town.
I know Tranter isn't going to read this, maybe anyone else isn't either, but I wanted to put thoughts out there.
Looking at this breakdown - in any group of 4, the odds say there is 1.33 mafia. We have a group of 4 here in the people not voting for me - Tranter, Maddog, Silver, Potent. You'll all see I am town after I am exiled, which makes me feel OK saying the rest of this, because mafia won't be able to use it against me with town knowing I'm town.
That means there are likely two mafia that are currently on me. That group can be broken into two - those who were on me before D1R3, and those who moved to me during D1R3.
Dan/Theo/Rummy were the ones that took me to this runoff. It's likely one of the three of them is mafia. It's possible more than one. With all of the info we have at this point, I'd personally place the Dan/Theo/Rummy combo lower on the list of possible trios. Always can change with more info. I think I'm most suspicious of Dan in this group from a gut read.
Those who have moved to me form another group of four - Teddy/KPO/Jortles/NonCum. I think Teddy is town, as a gut read. I'm suspicious of Jortles, because of his clearing of both Maddog and NonCum. The clearing of Maddog doesn't speak to Maddog's status, except that I'd say it's probable that Jortles and Maddog are not town together.
The whack will probably come from those who are currently voting for me, because it's lopsided and harder to pare down. That would be less true, of course, if inspector comes out and reveals information that doesn't agree with this. This is my analysis only knowing my role as town.
I know Tranter isn't going to read this, maybe anyone else isn't either, but I wanted to put thoughts out there.
This is a lot of action for what’s most likely town v town
agreed and is the reason I’m hesitant to switch back off potent but also the heart wants what it wants, and I do agree with his analysis that among me/you/Theo there’s likely a mafia, and it ain’t me, so Theo seems a better bet here
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
-using reveal as a defense (something I talked about last game) -speculating whack -speculating inspector
I don't understand what you mean as to the first item. I mean, I guess it can be a red flag to you now, but you'll see at the beginning of D2 that I am town. So when you go back and read earlier posts, reading what I am saying in the light that it has been revealed that I am town may help someone. The converse is true, if I'm revealed as mafia (which I won't be, but for speculation purposes bear with me), then you read everything I say as spin.
I did no speculating as to who is inspector. I absolutely speculated as to the whack, which you'll see on D2 is coming from a town perspective. And I didn't speculate on who the whack might be. Just how I would look at it on D2.
At this point even though I’m slightly more sus of Theo than potent, I think we will get a solid amount more information from knowing potent’s role than theo’s. So i feel ok about it going either way here
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
trantsgiving
Inforoo Influencer Well known PRANKSTER
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
