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Truevine > Tranter Pablo > Teddy Rooloo > Silver LD > Potent Ella > Pablo Carini > KPO Silver > Otter JR > LD Rummy > Theo KPO > Silver Alex > JR Teddy > Theo Tranter > Pablo Potent > LD Pablo > Teddy > KPO rooloo > Silver > Tranter Otter > KPO Theo > Teddy Dan > Theo Tranter > Pablo > rooloo Otter > KPO > rooloo SFA > Travisty LLL > Pablo Dan > Theo > Silver Jortles > Silver Dan > Theo > Silver > Travis Maddog > Rummy Rummy > Theo > Teddy Maddog > Rummy > Potent Capn > JR
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
Post by potentpotables on Jun 23, 2021 14:51:50 GMT -5
I'm trying to think of different cleavages in the vote patterns that we can look at to provide groups of 6-8 people thinking that there's probably at least one mafia in that group. One group I think makes sense to look at is those who have not moved their vote today since the initial casting of said vote. This gives us a group of six, so I am betting that there is at least one mafia in this group. Again - the idea is that with 23 players left, 17 of us have moved our vote off the initial D2 vote, and 6 have not. Those six: Carini, Ella, LLL, JR, KPO, Jortles. I think KPO is especially jarring as being more active than the others. I would tend, this early, to give a pass to LLL based on the reasons she has stated for lesser involvement (and I'm not going to fault someone on vacation).
I think everyone is focused on ZIG's posts about Carini voters and "too early" comments, but I think another post that has sort of gone under the radar is the post he made saying that we needed as many vote switches as possible for the inspector (and referencing this usefulness in M100). I'm not quite sure if ZIG was the first person to reference inspector (or the only on D1) but that comment sticks out to me a bit as something that may have caught mafia's eye. The six I've listed above are not helping the town's cause with their static votes.
This was you voting for me on D1R1 pushing me to 3. you stayed on me for a couple rounds. How can you say you weren't a Carini voter?
Because they're talking about a zig post that was made before I voted for you
I could be wrong here. But from what I am seeing, you voted for Carini back on June 12th and the Zig post is from June 16. At least the one I am referencing.
We're all a mess of paradoxes. Believing in things we know can't be true. We walk around carrying feelings too complicated and contradictory to express. But when it all becomes too big, and words aren't enough to help get it all out, there's always music.
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
so sort of looking over who voted and what kind of pairs/splits there could be at this point, sort of feel like Pablo voters I feel most ok with not working in tandem
2 of the current 4 (in case SFA votes while I'm working through this) have missed a vote, and cap and LLL have possibly been flirting with it unintentionally and trying hard not too.
gotta think a mafia with 2 to 3 people missing votes on the same team doesn't load up on one person who could fall out, and put theirselves in exile position. and you'd expect a bit more communication from big mafia team.
which sort of ties into me asking about who knew Travis/Ella, would think that Travis/teddy mafia pair teddy would be able to pester him to vote, similarly Pablo and Travis, can't see him not trying to get his teammate to vote.
and that sort of goes to anyone reaching out to get people to vote on other part of the board, and on fb chats, because you really shouldn't be contacting people with unknown roles to make moves, but if someone's teammates with someone they have contact for they definitely can do that and shouldn't be missing votes.
Truevine > Tranter Pablo > Teddy Rooloo > Silver LD > Potent Ella > Pablo Carini > KPO Silver > Otter JR > LD Rummy > Theo KPO > Silver Alex > JR Teddy > Theo Tranter > Pablo Potent > LD Pablo > Teddy > KPO rooloo > Silver > Tranter Otter > KPO Theo > Teddy Dan > Theo Tranter > Pablo > rooloo Otter > KPO > rooloo SFA > Travisty LLL > Pablo Dan > Theo > Silver Jortles > Silver Dan > Theo > Silver > Travis Maddog > Rummy Rummy > Theo > Teddy Maddog > Rummy > Potent Capn > JR
I'm trying to think of different cleavages in the vote patterns that we can look at to provide groups of 6-8 people thinking that there's probably at least one mafia in that group. One group I think makes sense to look at is those who have not moved their vote today since the initial casting of said vote. This gives us a group of six, so I am betting that there is at least one mafia in this group. Again - the idea is that with 23 players left, 17 of us have moved our vote off the initial D2 vote, and 6 have not. Those six: Carini, Ella, LLL, JR, KPO, Jortles. I think KPO is especially jarring as being more active than the others. I would tend, this early, to give a pass to LLL based on the reasons she has stated for lesser involvement (and I'm not going to fault someone on vacation).
I think everyone is focused on ZIG's posts about Carini voters and "too early" comments, but I think another post that has sort of gone under the radar is the post he made saying that we needed as many vote switches as possible for the inspector (and referencing this usefulness in M100). I'm not quite sure if ZIG was the first person to reference inspector (or the only on D1) but that comment sticks out to me a bit as something that may have caught mafia's eye. The six I've listed above are not helping the town's cause with their static votes.
I mentioned this post at the beginning of the round and I stopped again on it while rereading. I don't think it helps all that much at narrowing things down but I feel like mafia could have read something in to it. It's worded interestingly. Almost like he's speaking from a place of knowledge and the people he's voting along with are being pushed forward... maybe by nefarious means?
I think mafia could also read this as him having Jaz's name and this post pointing out that the runoff was heading the wrong way.
Or it's maybe more proof that he could have had the name of a Carini voter (Some chance it's an Alex voter but that doesn't seem as likely by the rest of Zig's posts).
