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There is literally no benefit to exiling cum tonight. Potent already has 3 names, he has no more info he could possibly provide. And town does not lose by voting potent out tonight.
There is literally no benefit to exiling cum tonight. Potent already has 3 names, he has no more info he could possibly provide. And town does not lose by voting potent out tonight.
I don't really see a flaw in the logic, and I'm fine with going now. What is bothering me is that Tranter (and KPO, apparently) aren't even considering that Cum is faking. That is going to be the downfall of the town. I mean, I have all 3 names, and it's always cool to win on a straight sweep, much cooler than strugg-a-ling to a D5 tossup. So it's tough for me to swallow being the exile here. But, I've been there from a townie's perspective and I'm trying to keep that in mind.
But, Jake Jortles, if you can hold locking your vote for a minute, I'm working on a post that is connecting as many dots as possible that I hope everybody but Tranter, Cum, and Danbob reads.
I don't really see a flaw in the logic, and I'm fine with going now. What is bothering me is that Tranter (and KPO, apparently) aren't even considering that Cum is faking. That is going to be the downfall of the town. I mean, I have all 3 names, and it's always cool to win on a straight sweep, much cooler than strugg-a-ling to a D5 tossup. So it's tough for me to swallow being the exile here. But, I've been there from a townie's perspective and I'm trying to keep that in mind.
But, Jake Jortles , if you can hold locking your vote for a minute, I'm working on a post that is connecting as many dots as possible that I hope everybody but Tranter, Cum, and Danbob reads.
I don't really see a flaw in the logic, and I'm fine with going now. What is bothering me is that Tranter (and KPO, apparently) aren't even considering that Cum is faking. That is going to be the downfall of the town. I mean, I have all 3 names, and it's always cool to win on a straight sweep, much cooler than strugg-a-ling to a D5 tossup. So it's tough for me to swallow being the exile here. But, I've been there from a townie's perspective and I'm trying to keep that in mind.
But, Jake Jortles, if you can hold locking your vote for a minute, I'm working on a post that is connecting as many dots as possible that I hope everybody but Tranter, Cum, and Danbob reads.
dan needs to be tomorrow’s exile or town is majorly fucking up
I don't really see a flaw in the logic, and I'm fine with going now. What is bothering me is that Tranter (and KPO, apparently) aren't even considering that Cum is faking. That is going to be the downfall of the town. I mean, I have all 3 names, and it's always cool to win on a straight sweep, much cooler than strugg-a-ling to a D5 tossup. So it's tough for me to swallow being the exile here. But, I've been there from a townie's perspective and I'm trying to keep that in mind.
But, Jake Jortles , if you can hold locking your vote for a minute, I'm working on a post that is connecting as many dots as possible that I hope everybody but Tranter, Cum, and Danbob reads.
dan needs to be tomorrow’s exile or town is majorly fucking up
Do me, dan, cum, and the town will win. You absolutely cannot let Cum get to D5.
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
i personally would rather exile cum here and then potent tomorrow if he isnt whacked but alas. no one else was down for that.
That would be horrible. Even if you’re unknown potent has 3 names vs cums 2. Even if mafia keeps cum around (which I don’t think is a given like everyone else weirdly does) there’s information to be had in the guess
I don't really see a flaw in the logic, and I'm fine with going now. What is bothering me is that Tranter (and KPO, apparently) aren't even considering that Cum is faking. That is going to be the downfall of the town. I mean, I have all 3 names, and it's always cool to win on a straight sweep, much cooler than strugg-a-ling to a D5 tossup. So it's tough for me to swallow being the exile here. But, I've been there from a townie's perspective and I'm trying to keep that in mind.
But, Jake Jortles, if you can hold locking your vote for a minute, I'm working on a post that is connecting as many dots as possible that I hope everybody but Tranter, Cum, and Danbob reads.
I was open to it, you just made 0 good commentary to back up your claim
Post by potentpotables on Nov 4, 2021 9:08:12 GMT -5
As I mentioned before, there's an unbelievable amount of chatter between the three mafia before the reveal occurs. They were obviously setting this up, which is proving to be successful because some of you have a hard time believing it's real. Here's Cum starting the chatter by voting for her teammate.
Tranter has an annoying habit of coming out of the gate and firing. Here's where he did that, naming Dan (correctly) as mafia. He named KPO/Dan/Potent, so he got 1 of 3. Then Danbob gives up the whole scheme, thinking that nobody will pay attention to what he said later in the game.
1. KPO > Danbob 2. JTR > Tranter 3. Dan > Cum 4. Theo > Rooloo 5. Jortles > JTR 6. Rooloo > Tranter 7. Rummy > Maddog 8. Tranter > Danbob 9. Potent > Rummy 10. Cum > Rooloo 11. Maddog > Potent 12. Jortles > JTR > Cum 13. KPO > Danbob > KPO
D1R1 will end tomorrow Oct 29th at 11AM EST. First request or a vote within two hours before the deadline will automatically extend the round six hours.
This occurred 9 minutes after the count was updated. Dan and Cum both distanced with their first votes, but Dan seems to regret it and tries to change the runoff.
The runoff is at 3 people currently, so Dan takes the common mafia tactic of trying to broaden the runoff. Nobody will call him on it, because a 4 person runoff is objectively better than 3 person, but this has the effect of diluting the runoff and giving them options.
At this point, I started to lay some tracks that I have Danbob's name. Does he realize it at this point? I've been mafia with Danbob plenty, and when hunting for inspector, Dan is pretty typical - anything that is said about you makes you paranoid. So I knew if I was going to do this, I'd have to do what I could to balance between leaving a trail and seeming townie-ish. That didn't really work, as we'll see in a bit.
I don't really think Maddog has flown under the radar this round. KPO moving from him early (without a revote) is more notable, in my mind. And then many were in here screaming about Maddog waiting so long to vote. I'm not really sure what's weird about it, other than KPO jumping the gun.
Jortles has seemingly been quiet the last few D1s when he has played.
We’re kinda on the same page. Sure people have been memeing his delayed voting but there’s been no real talk of him as a candidate. Good point on the KPO switch.
I called Danbob out directly for asking for Maddog to advance without doing anything about it. I think this was a pretty big mistake on his part.
In fact, Dan808 , now I'm looking at who was meme-ing Maddog's late votes. You started it, rooloo asked "wtf" was your post, then JTR, Tranter, and Rummy all commented on it. You and Tranter are the Maddog shouters who both could move to Maddog (with fellow shouters JTR and Rummy). Why don't you?
It seems odd that you are talking about Maddog being sus without doing something about it.
Because I don’t want to
More back and forth with Danbob (with Tranter needlessly involving himself). The bold is a reply to Tranter, where I was voting for someone that I felt was probably townie. This is when Jake Jortles started to question me (for voting for someone I didn't think was necessarily townie). I tried to be clear - while I thought he was townie, I didn't know. Now I do.
I didn't ask you to respond. I was talking to Danbob, to be clear. You aren't complaining that Maddog should be in the next runoff without moving your vote. I do feel like your schtick is a townie move at this point.
Then move your vote? You’re doing exactly what youre saying I’m doing
More discussion laying tracks between me and Danbob.
Then move your vote? You’re doing exactly what youre saying I’m doing
I didn't complain about Tranter not being in the runoff, or being in the runoff. You did, re: Maddog. I probably won't end up on Tranter but I don't know his status, only know that I think the whole "x is mafia, so are y and z" thing on D1R1 is something a mafia person wouldn't do.
Also, you're telling me to move my vote. You hate when people do that to you.
Another connection between Cum and rooloo, she's really laying it on thick in both the shade toward rooloo and the "why are people voting for me" schtick.
Dan808 thats all I really have for you at this point. Did a lil read. I switched to Cum because I didn't like her "I'm still mad at you!" initial vote (basically no reason). And nobody even asked why or anything so I guess thats not something we do as a group anymore. Gut feels a little off on JTR and I feel ok about Potent, You and Tranter, though I do think Potent shouldn't vote for people he feels townish about.
So far this is as boring as I remember pre-reveal so Im gonna fade again unless things heat up. Let me know when you want an update I got you.
It’s because in the last game we played I defended rooloo and he was mafia the whole time it was a lil joke that everyone but you got
Rooloo continues his distancing with Cum. This is all the ole rope-a-dope to set up the inspector fake obviously, in hindsight.
Jake Jortles re: initial votes - I mean to be fair I pretty much did the same thing for my Tranter vote. Obviously it doesn't really mean anything, but there's not anything else to go off of when we're just rattling off votes at the beginning of D1.
That being said I am feeling more townish about tranter than cum after doing a read through after getting back to civilization. He's just playing very loosey-goosey and I think that's a good thing. Don't really get cum's whole "everyone vote for rooloo" thing when she didn't ever give a good reason like Jortles mentioned. Feels like she's just trying to stir the pot.
Yeah, wonder why rooloo doesn't think Tranter is mafia? He knows his teammates.
Rooloo jumping the gun for self preservation, why?
Changing from tranter to cum does nothing for my self-preservation. More important than self-preservation is increasing the likelihood we get a maf D1 and I think having cum in gives us a better shot than having tranter in. Maybe I could've waited to see what happened first, but I didn't want to
This continues cum's "why are you voting for me" schtick. Someone has to go D1, so it became a weird hang-up with her. Obviously she's not going to out herself as mafia, so she faked inspector instead.
There’s 0 reason to sus me I’m starting to believe Jortles and rooloo are maf based on just how much they want to point a finger at me with no proof
All I've said is that in my opinion you are more likely mafia than tranter. I have a town read on tranter, you've done some weird stuff including telling everyone to vote for me "with no proof"
All I've said is that in my opinion you are more likely mafia than tranter. I have a town read on tranter, you've done some weird stuff including telling everyone to vote for me "with no proof"
I think this is second game we’ve played together but I feel like I know your bluff
I didn't really think this was that big of a deal, but it's hard for me to say that since Tranter called me out for it, and I do have a role. I'll have to tighten that up in the future. I do think, especially because I wasn't in the runoff, it would have been a better strategy to wait until Day Two to point this out. If me riding Danbob's ass didn't target me for Cum's "reveal", then this certainly did. It would be easy to sell since Tranter believed I was mafia (and Jortles would soon follow).
With no other reason for one over the other, I'll do the even up vote.
Potent > Cum
overly wordy and unnecessary explanation, typical mafia move
Jortles follows. At this point, I realized Jortles and Tranter weren't mafia. This was confirmed when Cum named me as her "given". I believe especially Jortles would have held onto that morsel and just whacked me N1 instead of leading to all this chaos.
Ay, farewell my sweet fellow townspeople. Doth exile me away into the foreign tundra where I will hunteth thy caribou and collect berries until thy winter cometh. I hope to findeth thy shelter by first snow. I will leaveth a trail of my blood on the trees so that you all may find me in case it is realized that your verdict has been misinformed. I need not woo thee to gain back thy trust, I will go forth in peace and be gone by dusk.
you and tranter both humping the gun in this game lol, thinking actions are the end all be all when we’ve got 12+ hrs before a round ends
Final thoughts - when Cum faked inspector, it sort of paralyzed me. My initial thought was to read everybody's reaction to see what happened. Some people called her out for "humping the gun" (I think JTR was another) and "revealing" when she wasn't faced with exile. Of course, it doesn't matter to her, she's not real inspector. I posted once during the fake to say that obviously she was mafia (because she is) but didn't reveal myself because I was trying to gather intel.
Before the fake reveal, I was planning to guess KPO for his initial vote for my given, Dan, and then moving off him almost inconspicuously by voting for himself and then moving to Maddog. So after I saw how the tide had turned after Cum's fake, and decided I needed to come out, I thought I was go for a reaction from KPO. By saying I had two names, my given and Cum, mafia knew that I was for real but they didn't know which name I had out of Dan/rooloo. When rooloo faked, it gave me no reason to pretend anymore with KPO's name, so I came clean saying that Dan was my third.
It makes sense from a mafia perspective - they had a 2/3 chance that inspector's given was somebody who was laid bare already and Dan could skate by. They just chose wrongly, it happens.
In sum, mistakes were made, but I got the town all 3 mafia on D1 without even needing a guess. My N1 guess confirmed Cum is mafia. My night 2 guess, if you were to keep me alive, would be to confirm that someone is town, so I get that this does nothing for town.
Post by potentpotables on Nov 4, 2021 9:09:34 GMT -5
Jake Jortles you can lock on me now. Jaz, I guess now we can get the dead thread going and I'll get to make fun of Cookin' Mama for believing the wrong inspector. Obviously Jim Watson isn't in any dead thread, he maf.
i personally would rather exile cum here and then potent tomorrow if he isnt whacked but alas. no one else was down for that.
That would be horrible. Even if you’re unknown potent has 3 names vs cums 2. Even if mafia keeps cum around (which I don’t think is a given like everyone else weirdly does) there’s information to be had in the guess
I get the basic math of 3 vs 2, tyvm.
But as someone who can't shake the feeling that cum is lying (I'll try to do a full reread today and pull some tangibles to point to where this feeling is coming from, but I was at first totally believing when she came out then unsure then believing again and now back to Big Question Mark), keeping her around another day could actually be the game changer. IF she is maf and clears her teammate as town, then the majority believes her, that's it--town loses.
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
That would be horrible. Even if you’re unknown potent has 3 names vs cums 2. Even if mafia keeps cum around (which I don’t think is a given like everyone else weirdly does) there’s information to be had in the guess
I get the basic math of 3 vs 2, tyvm.
But as someone who can't shake the feeling that cum is lying (I'll try to do a full reread today and pull some tangibles to point to where this feeling is coming from, but I was at first totally believing when she came out then unsure then believing again and now back to Big Question Mark), keeping her around another day could actually be the game changer. IF she is maf and clears her teammate as town, then the majority believes her, that's it--town loses.
I guess that’s what I don’t get. I know she’s telling the truth, but I don’t see how she doesn’t read perfectly as first time inspector. Revealing when she didn’t have to + her playing a completely different style she’s played with as both maf and town. Even when she was going after you it read to me as cun just getting frustrated you weren’t believing her.
That would be horrible. Even if you’re unknown potent has 3 names vs cums 2. Even if mafia keeps cum around (which I don’t think is a given like everyone else weirdly does) there’s information to be had in the guess
I get the basic math of 3 vs 2, tyvm.
But as someone who can't shake the feeling that cum is lying (I'll try to do a full reread today and pull some tangibles to point to where this feeling is coming from, but I was at first totally believing when she came out then unsure then believing again and now back to Big Question Mark), keeping her around another day could actually be the game changer. IF she is maf and clears her teammate as town, then the majority believes her, that's it--town loses.
if she’s mafia she can’t clear her teammate as town because her teammate would have to be Dan since potent would be the real inspector
But as someone who can't shake the feeling that cum is lying (I'll try to do a full reread today and pull some tangibles to point to where this feeling is coming from, but I was at first totally believing when she came out then unsure then believing again and now back to Big Question Mark), keeping her around another day could actually be the game changer. IF she is maf and clears her teammate as town, then the majority believes her, that's it--town loses.
if she’s mafia she can’t clear her teammate as town because her teammate would have to be Dan since potent would be the real inspector
and why can't she clear Dan? we're in d2 right now.
in cum's narrative, she's got two maf confirmed: rooloo and potent. you are confirmed town.
why couldn't she say she guesses dan n2, then for folks who believe her, they keep both of them alive tomorrow and exile someone else. she could again guess wrong and clear a townie (who actually is townie), or maf could go ahead and self-whack at that point, and town might keep dan alive all the way through
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
Post by trantsgiving on Nov 4, 2021 9:43:55 GMT -5
I would be inclined to believe potent, because he makes some ok points in that post, if he didn’t just majorly fuck up that reveal. Waiting until d2 would’ve made it more believable but hanging around then counter revealing just makes it seem like there was a discussion to be had and people to consult.
if she’s mafia she can’t clear her teammate as town because her teammate would have to be Dan since potent would be the real inspector
and why can't she clear Dan? we're in d2 right now.
in cum's narrative, she's got two maf confirmed: rooloo and potent. you are confirmed town.
why couldn't she say she guesses dan n2, then for folks who believe her, they keep both of them alive tomorrow and exile someone else. she could again guess wrong and clear a townie (who actually is townie), or maf could go ahead and self-whack at that point, and town might keep dan alive all the way through
am i missing something here?
obviously she can “clear” Dan but that’s a complete waste of a guess imo. If cum is inspector and potent and Rooloo are 2/3 mafia, Dan is least likely to be the third out of everyone who’s alive and we can only guarantee a win if cum finds the third in the other trio while exiling the mafia if potent is inspector (which I still think is a possibility). Also if cum does clear Dan as town that’s not an excuse to not exile him
Post by trantsgiving on Nov 4, 2021 10:01:20 GMT -5
Yeah I don’t think “clearing” anyone does anything here. Cum’s best course is probably going after who she thinks is mafia. A cum guess on Dan doesn’t really do anything unless potent was going to name his own teammate as mafia. And if we are worried about that, then Dan can be the hedge exile and not cum.
Post by Jeremy Fragrance on Nov 4, 2021 10:04:15 GMT -5
Here’s the situation:
D2: exile potent N2: I’m whacked D3: cum finds a town, exile Dan N3: that town is whacked D4: cum is exiled no matter if she finds a town or mafia N4: if cum found a town, they’re whacked D5: if cum found a mafia, they’re exiled. Otherwise it’s a blind d5
It cum finds a mafia at any point, great, we’ve won. If cum is mafia, great, we also win.
Cum guessing Dan is also a waste of a guess because it’s a chance to find out more peoples roles
Post by trantsgiving on Nov 4, 2021 10:18:38 GMT -5
After crunching the numbers, I do agree that we need to go potent -> Dan -> cum. Cum will have two more guesses and should land a mafia. If she lands one, we can go after them on d4 instead of her.
D2: exile potent N2: I’m whacked D3: cum finds a town, exile Dan N3: that town is whacked D4: cum is exiled no matter if she finds a town or mafia N4: if cum found a town, they’re whacked D5: if cum found a mafia, they’re exiled. Otherwise it’s a blind d5
It cum finds a mafia at any point, great, we’ve won. If cum is mafia, great, we also win.
Cum guessing Dan is also a waste of a guess because it’s a chance to find out more peoples roles
im wholly down for this. and i do see now what you mean about guessing dan is a waste
but what about if cum comes (heh) back in D3 saying someone is mafia who isn't actually, so town opts to exile them d3 instead of dan as you've laid out here? if cum makes it to d5 alongside someone like kpo and tranter, they legit might let her stay alive all the way through and vote whoever else is with them that day
Considering you've found the need to respond to my threads as if you are threatened by me I offer you some peace my confused counterpart. May you find peace in your restless soul.
D2: exile potent N2: I’m whacked D3: cum finds a town, exile Dan N3: that town is whacked D4: cum is exiled no matter if she finds a town or mafia N4: if cum found a town, they’re whacked D5: if cum found a mafia, they’re exiled. Otherwise it’s a blind d5
It cum finds a mafia at any point, great, we’ve won. If cum is mafia, great, we also win.
Cum guessing Dan is also a waste of a guess because it’s a chance to find out more peoples roles
im wholly down for this. and i do see now what you mean about guessing dan is a waste
but what about if cum comes (heh) back in D3 saying someone is mafia who isn't actually, so town opts to exile them d3 instead of dan as you've laid out here? if cum makes it to d5 alongside someone like kpo and tranter, they legit might let her stay alive all the way through and vote whoever else is with them that day
im wholly down for this. and i do see now what you mean about guessing dan is a waste
but what about if cum comes (heh) back in D3 saying someone is mafia who isn't actually, so town opts to exile them d3 instead of dan as you've laid out here? if cum makes it to d5 alongside someone like kpo and tranter, they legit might let her stay alive all the way through and vote whoever else is with them that day
If cum names a mafia tomorrow we win ezpz
would the game somehow be helped if I faked inspector?