Whether it's your first Bonnaroo or you’re a music festival veteran, we welcome you to Inforoo.
Here you'll find info about artists, rumors, camping tips, and the infamous Roo Clues. Have a look around then create an account and join in the fun. See you at Bonnaroo!!
^That is pretty devastating statistically to swing more than 10 points in a likability/electability poll. Holy shit, he's tanking faster than all his previous campaigns and that is actually a net good. No matter your "I'll never vote that socialist" - what if they just DIDN'T VOTE. Which might actually happen because this person is corrosive to both our ethos and economy. Biden will burn out and the top 5 candidates left are all superior choices already, let alone the real stats on who would then win one state over that state, etc.
I personally find this to be great news because I do not want Biden to be the Democratic candidate. But since we've brought up misleading statistical graphics in the past, I gotta call this one out, as well.
It's a bit misleading for the creator of this graphic to place the 51% of Warren further to the right than the 57% of Biden, especially when the crux of the argument is that his edge has "effectively disappeared". I mean, 57% is still 6 percentage points higher than 51%. It's just biased representation. Overall, still a very positive sign.
EDIT: It's pretty hilarious how much further right Booker's 26% is compared to Buttigieg's 26%.
I personally find this to be great news because I do not want Biden to be the Democratic candidate. But since we've brought up misleading statistical graphics in the past, I gotta call this one out, as well.
It's a bit misleading for the creator of this graphic to place the 51% of Warren further to the right than the 57% of Biden, especially when the crux of the argument is that his edge has "effectively disappeared". I mean, 57% is still 6 percentage points higher than 51%. It's just biased representation. Overall, still a very positive sign.
EDIT: It's pretty hilarious how much further right Booker's 26% is compared to Buttigieg's 26%.
The arrows are in the correct places, I think you're looking at the numbers next to the arrows. Booker and Buttigieg's 26% marks are in the same place.
I personally find this to be great news because I do not want Biden to be the Democratic candidate. But since we've brought up misleading statistical graphics in the past, I gotta call this one out, as well.
It's a bit misleading for the creator of this graphic to place the 51% of Warren further to the right than the 57% of Biden, especially when the crux of the argument is that his edge has "effectively disappeared". I mean, 57% is still 6 percentage points higher than 51%. It's just biased representation. Overall, still a very positive sign.
EDIT: It's pretty hilarious how much further right Booker's 26% is compared to Buttigieg's 26%.
The arrows are in the correct places, I think you're looking at the numbers next to the arrows. Booker and Buttigieg's 26% marks are in the same place.
No, I fully understand where the arrows are. It's set up that way on purpose to skew perception. Either that or it's poorly constructed/designed.
The Border Patrol Facebook group is the most recent example of some law enforcement personnel behaving badly in public and private digital spaces. An investigation by Reveal uncovered hundreds of active-duty and retired law enforcement officers who moved in extremist Facebook circles, including white supremacist and anti-government groups. A team of researchers calling themselves the Plain View Project recently released a hefty database of offensive Facebook posts made by current and ex-law enforcement officers.
Don't think it won't get worse.
I've also noticed the media working really hard this week with their "both sides" bullshit. Some fucking how they'd like us the believe that the Dems moving left is as troubling as how far right the GOP is. Fucking lol We live in hellworld.
Hi 10 point slide, that goes with my average prediction..
Wait who did I say are your best real candidates...nah, just crazy here.
I thought it would take longer but it was clear Kamala would get back in this. So weird what people perceive as important. Her policy positions haven't changed. Nothing new has been introduced. It's just cause she dog walked a stupid old man. Which was the least surprising thing of the debates.
Hi 10 point slide, that goes with my average prediction..
Wait who did I say are your best real candidates...nah, just crazy here.
Chris' poll made me think of this...
Fucking painful.
Painful but shows an inconsistency that is relevant to actual campaigns. Biden can't win Ohio or Iowa if this is the mindset and relevant to active engaged early voters; meaning his campaign will start to freeze up. I will not say that it's an absolute, I just like where the Warren and Sanders numbers *even Harris* are. That means they are uncomfortable with the system as is and are in open competition even within themselves. I've demonstrated this on Facebook. It's my more interesting goal this cycle. Exploring why people are fighting against their interests.
To be a viable Democratic candidate you basically just need to balance appearing strong with appearing likable. Biden came off weak. Bernie came off grouchy. Harris came off as being incredibly strong and did so without appearing what some would call "bitchy", which is unfortunately a difficult line that women have to straddle that men don't. Warren came off as very competent and even-tempered, and Buttigieg came off similarly but with less substance.
To be a viable Democratic candidate you basically just need to balance appearing strong with appearing likable. Biden came off weak. Bernie came off grouchy. Harris came off as being incredibly strong and did so without appearing what some would call "bitchy", which is unfortunately a difficult line that women have to straddle that men don't. Warren came off as very competent and even-tempered, and Buttigieg came off similarly but with less substance.
As much as Democrats want to trash talk Republicans for electing a reality show host, they're sure as fuuuuuuck gonna line up and nominate the person who entertains them most. Unfortunately, Sanders and Warren care about, you know, policy and shit.
To be a viable Democratic candidate you basically just need to balance appearing strong with appearing likable. Biden came off weak. Bernie came off grouchy. Harris came off as being incredibly strong and did so without appearing what some would call "bitchy", which is unfortunately a difficult line that women have to straddle that men don't. Warren came off as very competent and even-tempered, and Buttigieg came off similarly but with less substance.
It's *nice getting an actual debate and now having the fun of watching the 2nd bout, because we have at least 4 competent candidates. We also clearly have incompetent media who just want a fire fight -- telling us how much everyone could not be elected. While we forget they all thought Hillary was going to win... ::more thoughts about this::
Last Edit: Jul 2, 2019 18:38:25 GMT -5 by Deleted - Back to Top
To be a viable Democratic candidate you basically just need to balance appearing strong with appearing likable. Biden came off weak. Bernie came off grouchy. Harris came off as being incredibly strong and did so without appearing what some would call "bitchy", which is unfortunately a difficult line that women have to straddle that men don't. Warren came off as very competent and even-tempered, and Buttigieg came off similarly but with less substance.
As much as Democrats want to trash talk Republicans for electing a reality show host, they're sure as fuuuuuuck gonna line up and nominate the person who entertains them most. Unfortunately, Sanders and Warren care about, you know, policy and shit.
I volunteer to teach Warren how to land a heel flip.
Painful but shows an inconsistency that is relevant to actual campaigns. Biden can't win Ohio or Iowa if this is the mindset and relevant to active engaged early voters; meaning his campaign will start to freeze up. I will not say that it's an absolute, I just like where the Warren and Sanders numbers *even Harris* are. That means they are uncomfortable with the system as is and are in open competition even within themselves. I've demonstrated this on Facebook. It's my more interesting goal this cycle. Exploring why people are fighting against their interests.
Yeah, I think there's always a lot of people that know the system is fucked but they are too scared to do anything about it. Which I think partially explains Biden's numbers being high for so long. It likely partially explains Warren's sluggishness following the DNA stuff and the media blowing it up. I'd say there are some number of folks are scared to back Harris or Warren because they are women. Although I haven't seen the argument as much lately.
Not to forgot how many people are thinking about which of these people will actually stick to their guns and not back-track once in office. Much less that popular policies help you with elections down the road. But fuck it, let's bank on personality and platitudes. It's not like people expect anything out of all this bullshit.
To be a viable Democratic candidate you basically just need to balance appearing strong with appearing likable. Biden came off weak. Bernie came off grouchy. Harris came off as being incredibly strong and did so without appearing what some would call "bitchy", which is unfortunately a difficult line that women have to straddle that men don't. Warren came off as very competent and even-tempered, and Buttigieg came off similarly but with less substance.
This is all unfortunately true and it's irritating. Really hoping we get these debates down to a manageable size so they can go into more detail on their policies.
Although I don't think it's clear how competent Buttigieg came across since he admitted to incompetence during the debate. It's certainly not a bad quality to admit to your mistakes but it's not always going to play well when you're asking the electorate for a job promotion. Plus, he's such a clear corporate stooge.
I love the Turks and watch them all the time. But that premise is borderline preposterous. Any Democrat or any person who doesn’t investigate an “apparent lynching” would probably even get voted out in most of the South. There are obvious issues at least the way that journalist they are reporting on has demonstrated. But to present it the way they did is cheesy.