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Post by brittrock80 on Sept 30, 2024 20:19:28 GMT -5
I think the mass of texts maybe September 30 deadline-related. A campaign I donated $25 to has sent me texts from like 9 different numbers in the last few days
Based on the sheer volume of fund raising and/or scam texts I’ve gotten today, Harris’ team is not liking recent swing state polling.
?!? Polling has been just fine, not sure what you're referring to here. I know you love *reading* into things a lot, but you're probably just getting extra right now cuz the months is ending.
Based on the sheer volume of fund raising and/or scam texts I’ve gotten today, Harris’ team is not liking recent swing state polling.
?!? Polling has been just fine, not sure what you're referring to here. I know you love *reading* into things a lot, but you're probably just getting extra right now cuz the months is ending.
It makes a lot more sense when you remember jakicker is an idiot that parrots right wing talking points
?!? Polling has been just fine, not sure what you're referring to here. I know you love *reading* into things a lot, but you're probably just getting extra right now cuz the months is ending.
It makes a lot more sense when you remember jakicker is an idiot that parrots right wing talking points
I don’t know anything about any of this interpersonal stuff but I don’t think it’s a right wing talking point to say the polling is at best showing a toss up. Harris is slightly ahead in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania but all within the margin of error and even more concerning within the polling error from both 2016 and 2020. She’s also ahead in Nevada as of late but if she loses one of the other three Nevada doesn’t do anything. Arizona and Georgia have been looking bad. North Carolina is anyone’s guess with the governor stuff and now half the state being underwater.
No one knows how accurate the polls will be or what direction the error will be, but if you’re using them to tell yourself anything other than it’s really, really fucking close I think you’re setting yourself up for a big shock.
I don’t know anything about any of this interpersonal stuff but I don’t think it’s a right wing talking point to say the polling is at best showing a toss up. Harris is slightly ahead in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania but all within the margin of error and even more concerning within the polling error from both 2016 and 2020. She’s also ahead in Nevada as of late but if she loses one of the other three Nevada doesn’t do anything. Arizona and Georgia have been looking bad. North Carolina is anyone’s guess with the governor stuff and now half the state being underwater.
No one knows how accurate the polls will be or what direction the error will be, but if you’re using them to tell yourself anything other than it’s really, really fucking close I think you’re setting yourself up for a big shock.
The most recent state polls to drop on 538 (assuming these are the ones ja is talking about) are: "Patriot Polling" and Trafalgar. So take that for what it's worth.
I don’t know anything about any of this interpersonal stuff but I don’t think it’s a right wing talking point to say the polling is at best showing a toss up. Harris is slightly ahead in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania but all within the margin of error and even more concerning within the polling error from both 2016 and 2020. She’s also ahead in Nevada as of late but if she loses one of the other three Nevada doesn’t do anything. Arizona and Georgia have been looking bad. North Carolina is anyone’s guess with the governor stuff and now half the state being underwater.
No one knows how accurate the polls will be or what direction the error will be, but if you’re using them to tell yourself anything other than it’s really, really fucking close I think you’re setting yourself up for a big shock.
The most recent state polls to drop on 538 (assuming these are the ones ja is talking about) are: "Patriot Polling" and Trafalgar. So take that for what it's worth.
There definitely are partisan polls that are trying to move the narrative one way or another, more Republican than not but there were also some Dem funded polls that showed Harris within 5 points of Trump in both Florida and Texas that I’m assuming were released to try to get the Trump campaign to waste resources in those states. I more meant the aggregate of all polling in any of the states. The 538 or RCP averages are good for those and confirm the really fucking close narrative
Post by Delicious Meatball Sub on Oct 1, 2024 15:27:59 GMT -5
“Harris must be scared of the polls because she keeps asking for money” was a dumb/trolly comment. “Actually the polls are great for Harris right now” was also kind of dumb. Both of these things can be true.
“Harris must be scared of the polls because she keeps asking for money” was a dumb/trolly comment. “Actually the polls are great for Harris right now” was also kind of dumb. Both of these things can be true.
I did receive an insane amount of texts this weekend. And the polls have been trending worse for her. They might not be related. Could be a false equivalency
“Harris must be scared of the polls because she keeps asking for money” was a dumb/trolly comment. “Actually the polls are great for Harris right now” was also kind of dumb. Both of these things can be true.
Semirelated I’m fascinated by Democratic fundraising emails that are always either “hey this is billionaire George Clooney please donate $10 to save democracy” or “OMG JD Vance took my first born hostage and is torturing them. Please give me money so I can pay the ransom or he’s going to murder them with a spork”. I have to imagine they market test them and those messages work but it always seems ridiculous.
I stupidly gave some republicans, including trump, my email to see what their tone is and it’s very, very different in exactly the ways you guess.