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Changing my town reads to Dan and Maddog. I feel very solid in those after my most recent reread.
KPO is a huge question mark. Didn't receive day 1 votes. Stacked on BKB quickly, which I'm also guilty of but y'all think it's a good group to look at so. That's a couple boxes checked. I also don't like how he keeps harping into the "I can't keep being a special role" when the odds don't change from game to game. It just feels like that's the one defense he has. He also voted with Rummy onto me Day 2.
Potent is another huge questions mark. I think rereading made me back off a tiny bit because a lot of his posts did seem like townie just trying his best BUT he still has done a lot of sus things this game. Also last game when he was town and I said I was sus of him he gave me a short reply that was something to the end of "don't waste your time." This time he's going for emotional pleas which feel a bit desperate to me. But I guess that's fair since I keep attacking him. Potent also has a history of voting for his teammate d1 and he voted rummy d1. Potent/Rummy/BKB makes a ton of sense to me.
Jaz does have some weirdness around him after my reread but I think less so than KPO or Potent. He isn't really out of character at all which is why I was leaning town earlier. one thing I keep coming back to is rummy stacking jaz on day 1. I think that's something mafia rummy would do to a teammate. But also something that traditional mafia play would lead me to say "why would rummy do that." The answer to that question is because that's what she wants you to think. So idk it's tough.
For the record, I accidentally liked this when quoting. Didn’t want to seem like I am hiding something. Apologies for the mistake.
And I feel like it’s a pretty freakin decent defense. Yes the odds are the same each game, but getting the weird odds each game is an anomaly. Not getting D1 votes is not a characteristic of my behavior so using that seems kinda arbitrary.
Alternatively, I half joking picked on Jaz and he got mad defensive and started turning the conversation onto me asking why I randomly started picking him like I didn’t randomly pick on danbob this game too
Were you waiting for the round to start to pull that one out?
Anyway, here you go:
Is that what you're now calling me being "mad defensive"? That's just a straight up lie. How is what you said "half joking" but me responding to it with a single line and then diving into something completely unrelated evidence of me being defensive?
You guys seriously think I have a role again? Find a time I told an outright lie in my entire time of playing the game. Sus of Jaz, Potent, and MD.
Jaz got accusatory with me when I said he was quiet and voted him as a slight joke. MD (I think) seems to think either me or Silver are mafia which strikes me as weird because Silver is my biggest town read (he is doing his usual thinking out loud) and I know I am town. Potent is the least sus of these three but offered 0 good explanations for his vote
And I didn't even respond to it. Idk why you're trying to drum up this narrative of me being super defensive about things you've said when anyone reading the thread can see that's very obviously not the case.
And could you PLEASE quote where I started turning the conversation onto you asking why you were randomly picking on me? Please please please. Because this is quite literally something that you've just made up. I wasn't particularly suspicious of you before and I know some on here have a town read on you but now you're straight-up just lying.
I am most likely just misremembering then. If you guys think that Jaz is town then we are between two town and don’t move forward thinking I am Maf because that’s just not the case
I don’t really have time for a read through because I have a super important call that I need to prepare for so I guess this is it if potent takes the kill shot
Jaz is the biggest unknown for me. He’s posts and vibe are fine, but he doesn’t fit into any of the groups I find significant from the votes. So he’s pretty much just floating out there with not much actual data to read from, so I’m ok with the exile.
Jaz is the biggest unknown for me. He’s posts and vibe are fine, but he doesn’t fit into any of the groups I find significant from the votes. So he’s pretty much just floating out there with not much actual data to read from, so I’m ok with the exile.
Can you please share these groups/splits you keep talking about
Jaz is the biggest unknown for me. He’s posts and vibe are fine, but he doesn’t fit into any of the groups I find significant from the votes. So he’s pretty much just floating out there with not much actual data to read from, so I’m ok with the exile.
Can you please share these groups/splits you keep talking about
The big post I had at the beginning of the day has the two groups I find most significant. For splits, I’m mainly looking at day 1 and day 2 pre reveal.
With potent as a town read (something which is not guaranteed but that’s what I feel strongest about right now), it makes sense to me that there was one maf on bkb, I don’t think maf sits out on a bandwagon against a player who odds are is town. This would point to one of you and kpo being maf, and one of mad dog and Jaz. Day 2 KPO and rummy were both on you pre reveal. Hence me disregarding the kpo silver rummy combo (and why I think both you and kpo should make it to day 5 to let Tranter get the kill shot). Jaz was on me as well as Theo pre reveal so I can see there being one maf on me.
Can you please share these groups/splits you keep talking about
The big post I had at the beginning of the day has the two groups I find most significant. For splits, I’m mainly looking at day 1 and day 2 pre reveal.
With potent as a town read (something which is not guaranteed but that’s what I feel strongest about right now), it makes sense to me that there was one maf on bkb, I don’t think maf sits out on a bandwagon against a player who odds are is town. This would point to one of you and kpo being maf, and one of mad dog and Jaz. Day 2 KPO and rummy were both on you pre reveal. Hence me disregarding the kpo silver rummy combo (and why I think both you and kpo should make it to day 5 to let Tranter get the kill shot). Jaz was on me as well as Theo pre reveal so I can see there being one maf on me.
I wish I could find flaw in this and then convince you move your vote but...this is well-reasoned.
Post by potentpotables on Apr 16, 2021 10:27:08 GMT -5
Another important D2 split - IMO - is votes/no votes. Based on what Danbob posted above:
Votes - Kanye/Potent/Theo/Dan/Tranter No Votes - Maddog/Jaz/Rummy/KPO
We know the split is at least 2-1 because of Rummy, but I'd be interested in what the math says about the likelihood of 1-2 or 0-3. It's as good of information as we have this game, I think. Makes me think that Jaz/KPO is a fine runoff and either is fine to go.
Another important D2 split - IMO - is votes/no votes. Based on what Danbob posted above:
Votes - Kanye/Potent/Theo/Dan/Tranter No Votes - Maddog/Jaz/Rummy/KPO
We know the split is at least 2-1 because of Rummy, but I'd be interested in what the math says about the likelihood of 1-2 or 0-3. It's as good of information as we have this game, I think. Makes me think that Jaz/KPO is a fine runoff and either is fine to go.
Personally think 1-2 or 0-3 is the most likely based on how I’m reading the game rn
Another important D2 split - IMO - is votes/no votes. Based on what Danbob posted above:
Votes - Kanye/Potent/Theo/Dan/Tranter No Votes - Maddog/Jaz/Rummy/KPO
We know the split is at least 2-1 because of Rummy, but I'd be interested in what the math says about the likelihood of 1-2 or 0-3. It's as good of information as we have this game, I think. Makes me think that Jaz/KPO is a fine runoff and either is fine to go.
Personally think 1-2 or 0-3 is the most likely based on how I’m reading the game rn
I really think that out of the 5 people who moved to BKB, there's gotta be one that is mafia. Obviously inspector and oracle were two of them. If they weren't, really good work on maf's part.
Personally think 1-2 or 0-3 is the most likely based on how I’m reading the game rn
I really think that out of the 5 people who moved to BKB, there's gotta be one that is mafia. Obviously inspector and oracle were two of them. If they weren't, really good work on maf's part.
What do you think about my theory of putting kpo and silver in day 5 and letting T win the game?
I really think that out of the 5 people who moved to BKB, there's gotta be one that is mafia. Obviously inspector and oracle were two of them. If they weren't, really good work on maf's part.
What do you think about my theory of putting kpo and silver in day 5 and letting T win the game?
Honestly, it comes off as sketchy to me. I have no idea of any mafia's identity other than Rummy, so planning something like this reads like someone having more information than me. There is no guarantee to me that KPO and Silver are town. I get your reasoning that likely one of them is town, but I think I want to wait to comment more.
What do you think about my theory of putting kpo and silver in day 5 and letting T win the game?
Honestly, it comes off as sketchy to me. I have no idea of any mafia's identity other than Rummy, so planning something like this reads like someone having more information than me. There is no guarantee to me that KPO and Silver are town. I get your reasoning that likely one of them is town, but I think I want to wait to comment more.
My thinking is since we already have one confirmed townie, all we need to do is send a pair of people who cannot be mafia together.
I really think that out of the 5 people who moved to BKB, there's gotta be one that is mafia. Obviously inspector and oracle were two of them. If they weren't, really good work on maf's part.
What do you think about my theory of putting kpo and silver in day 5 and letting T win the game?
I think it's sort of odd to be town and suggest two unknowns advance further than you
What do you think about my theory of putting kpo and silver in day 5 and letting T win the game?
I think it's sort of odd to be town and suggest two unknowns advance further than you
Well if I make it to day 5 (which I don’t see bc no one is really being vocal if they’re sus of me) then I’ll know automatically who the maf is since T is confirmed. So I’ll just slam it.
I think it's sort of odd to be town and suggest two unknowns advance further than you
Well if I make it to day 5 (which I don’t see bc no one is really being vocal if they’re sus of me) then I’ll know automatically who the maf is since T is confirmed. So I’ll just slam it.