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Post by Jeremy Fragrance on Apr 30, 2021 13:31:53 GMT -5
I revealed on D2 in the final runoff with KPO. At this point, Jaz (mafia) and Dan (town) are already dead. If I'm faking inspector and mafia with either KPO or Jaz, it means I needed to be absolutely confident that Dan was inspector, or I'm expecting a counter reveal with my name or KPO/Jaz , and not the third (or if you think neither are mafia, I'm taking the 1/3 chance that I'm the given and not my other 2 mafia partners). If you think I'm mafia with KPO and Jaz that's just completely dumb. If you feel like it is necessary to vote me out today because you think town will lose because of it, that means you have to believe there is 2 other mafia still alive, and that we were confident Dan was inspector/I was given of inspector still alive.
I'm not faking though, and everything I've said so far is the truth. This means I'm town, Potent is town, Dan is town, Rummy is town, KPO is unknown, and Jaz is mafia. This is also without knowing who Oracle is, which confirms another town (as long as it's not Potent) and confirms another role if the oracle is killed. There is at most 2 mafia alive between Tranter, Maddog, Kanye, Otter, and Jortles, possibly 1 mafia in that group. In that group the only confident read I have is a town read on Kanye. After a lot of thought I'm leaning much more towards Jortles as a potential mafia, because Jaz expanded the runoff to 5 D1R1, a move that mafia often do when there's multiple mafia in the runoff. Also looking at the D2 votes before my reveal, all 4 people on me are of unknown roles (KPO, Otter, Jortles, Silver). Also feels like Jortles came into this day ready to push me.
I revealed on D2 in the final runoff with KPO. At this point, Jaz (mafia) and Dan (town) are already dead. If I'm faking inspector and mafia with either KPO or Jaz, it means I needed to be absolutely confident that Dan was inspector, or I'm expecting a counter reveal with my name or KPO/Jaz , and not the third (or if you think neither are mafia, I'm taking the 1/3 chance that I'm the given and not my other 2 mafia partners). If you think I'm mafia with KPO and Jaz that's just completely dumb. If you feel like it is necessary to vote me out today because you think town will lose because of it, that means you have to believe there is 2 other mafia still alive, and that we were confident Dan was inspector/I was given of inspector still alive.
I'm not faking though, and everything I've said so far is the truth. This means I'm town, Potent is town, Dan is town, Rummy is town, KPO is unknown, and Jaz is mafia. This is also without knowing who Oracle is, which confirms another town (as long as it's not Potent) and confirms another role if the oracle is killed. There is at most 2 mafia alive between Tranter, Maddog, Kanye, Otter, and Jortles, possibly 1 mafia in that group. In that group the only confident read I have is a town read on Kanye. After a lot of thought I'm leaning much more towards Jortles as a potential mafia, because Jaz expanded the runoff to 5 D1R1, a move that mafia often do when there's multiple mafia in the runoff. Also looking at the D2 votes before my reveal, all 4 people on me are of unknown roles (KPO, Otter, Jortles, Silver). Also feels like Jortles came into this day ready to push me.
Theo > Jortles
I've said I definitely don't believe mafia is kpo/jaz/theo, nor you being mafia with jaz specifically bc of d1.
I think the kpo/otter/jortles/silver group probably has 2 mafia if theo is inspector, with or without jaz/kpo confirmed status, so I'm fine going down that road.
don't have that much a town read on silver, but my move to tranter was mostly in self preservation
Post by trantsgiving on Apr 30, 2021 14:12:31 GMT -5
If we go full send on Theo being inspector, this should mean he gets whacked tonight. Then Potent, leaving Jortles as the D5 contender. I’m ok with this.
My reads have been Theo and/or maddog throughout. I’m going to stick with one of them absent compelling evidence to the contrary. Invite you all to join.
7 of the 10 possible combos include 2 living mafia if I haven't missed anything and am counting right. We have three exiles left, so I think out of the four unknowns in this scenario, we need to make sure that Theo's guess is one, Jortles name is another, and we exile the other two. Am I missing anything here?
