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Post by trantsgiving on May 13, 2021 20:41:12 GMT -5
Man this blows. We basically had two townies in the first runoff and then second included Silver and there’s already a 1-1 split between MD and Jaz so that’s basically useless. After that, it was two clean sweeps. I’ve got absolutely no voting data to work with here.
Post by Jeremy Fragrance on May 13, 2021 20:47:56 GMT -5
Alright about to start my reread. Will reread with the perspective that Silver is mafia, but will double check on any weird Tranter posts. trantsgiving I recommend you reread with a perspective with me as town
Man this blows. We basically had two townies in the first runoff and then second included Silver and there’s already a 1-1 split between MD and Jaz so that’s basically useless. After that, it was two clean sweeps. I’ve got absolutely no voting data to work with here.
Post by Jeremy Fragrance on May 13, 2021 22:01:00 GMT -5
The most useful thing we have to look at right now is the N1 and N2 whack. Mafia went for Jortles N1. We generally agreed that it did not look good for Potent (town), Rummy (town), Silver (mafia) and a bit of Jaz (mafia). If I'm mafia with Maddog and Jaz there has to be someone else on D1 that sticks out to us more as a possible inspector with one of our names, unless Jaz is extremely paranoid about his initial vote for Otter D1, which I don't think is the case.
We also never dissected the Rummy whack D3 because of Dan's immediate inspector reveal (which I get he needed to do) but now we have the time to take a deeper look at it. Silver was going after both Rummy and Potent quite aggressively D2, while I started the day more sus of Silver and eventually switched over to Potent/Rummy with him. I also think a mafia Silver reads this post and sees "inspector Rummy guessed Potent N1 and knows he's town":
Rummy seems to really think I'm mafia or somehow is so confident in a town read on day 2 that she wants to narrow the game down to people pushing him. Both seem like stretches to me knowing I'm town
ofc I could be wrong. But Potent and I have played together a lot a lotttt (back to the Viking Days!), and sometimes there is a specific way that he interacts w me when I’m town that makes me feel so strongly that he’s town too. A town tell if you will. I’m not gonna expand further than that bc he might then try to replicate it when mafia in the future and I don’t want that lol
I’m not certain on you. But when faced w the comment “potent needs to go tomorrow,” then yeah, I’m gonna counter that with “or maybe one of the people pushing hard on him.”
Man this blows. We basically had two townies in the first runoff and then second included Silver and there’s already a 1-1 split between MD and Jaz so that’s basically useless. After that, it was two clean sweeps. I’ve got absolutely no voting data to work with here.
This was the deciding vote D2, when the runoff was 4-4 between Silver and Potent
FWIW at this point day 2 had to be town v town. Did go back to see what happened that day and Jaz stacked me to 3 when everyone else was at 2. I mean I know that can be chalked up to distancing but idk why I'd have my teammate superstack me
The most useful thing we have to look at right now is the N1 and N2 whack. Mafia went for Jortles N1. We generally agreed that it did not look good for Potent (town), Rummy (town), Silver (mafia) and a bit of Jaz (mafia). If I'm mafia with Maddog and Jaz there has to be someone else on D1 that sticks out to us more as a possible inspector with one of our names, unless Jaz is extremely paranoid about his initial vote for Otter D1, which I don't think is the case.
We also never dissected the Rummy whack D3 because of Dan's immediate inspector reveal (which I get he needed to do) but now we have the time to take a deeper look at it. Silver was going after both Rummy and Potent quite aggressively D2, while I started the day more sus of Silver and eventually switched over to Potent/Rummy with him. I also think a mafia Silver reads this post and sees "inspector Rummy guessed Potent N1 and knows he's town":
ofc I could be wrong. But Potent and I have played together a lot a lotttt (back to the Viking Days!), and sometimes there is a specific way that he interacts w me when I’m town that makes me feel so strongly that he’s town too. A town tell if you will. I’m not gonna expand further than that bc he might then try to replicate it when mafia in the future and I don’t want that lol
I’m not certain on you. But when faced w the comment “potent needs to go tomorrow,” then yeah, I’m gonna counter that with “or maybe one of the people pushing hard on him.”
While I did go after potent I don't think I ever really went after rummy. She said she'd look at people pushing potent and that post in general could read to mafia as inspector tipping their hand regardless of who it points to.
The rummy whack points to you as well and it seems now that the Jortles whack was about Jaz because of his post about otter voters.
Again, just so on the nose. I think mafia saw this post and coupled it with Jortles tone/post about otter voters and thought it'd be a good shot at inspector and also move town towards me. Seems to be working right now even still on day 5
Post by Silver Surfer on May 14, 2021 7:56:59 GMT -5
The only thing on my reread I found to make me think Tranter is mafia is that day 1 round 2 he switched off KPO onto Rummy when Maddog was an option. Maddog then slipped out of the runoff.
I mean it's definitely something but the man's tone is just so vanilla to me that I can't really see Tranter being mafia or if he is then he did a really good job.
Post by Silver Surfer on May 14, 2021 8:02:36 GMT -5
Last thing, on day 2 Dan said a few times I was one of his strongest town reads. I know technically I could be fooling him but I don't think I'm that good
The only thing on my reread I found to make me think Tranter is mafia is that day 1 round 2 he switched off KPO onto Rummy when Maddog was an option. Maddog then slipped out of the runoff.
I mean it's definitely something but the man's tone is just so vanilla to me that I can't really see Tranter being mafia or if he is then he did a really good job.
The only thing on my reread I found to make me think Tranter is mafia is that day 1 round 2 he switched off KPO onto Rummy when Maddog was an option. Maddog then slipped out of the runoff.
I mean it's definitely something but the man's tone is just so vanilla to me that I can't really see Tranter being mafia or if he is then he did a really good job.
doesn’t look as bad as Maddog with the kill shot D2 on potent over you
Okay but Jaz was on me. It must've been town vs town
jaz knows it looks awful for both of you if he’s the given and he switches off you in that final runoff, and you were saved by Maddog anyways he didn’t need to switch
