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I think these are the only possible combos remaining, with Theo as inspector and rooloo/Maddog/Rummy as town (along with myself - feel free to put me in where I have you, but only if you are town).
I'm going through to look at what assumptions would need to be made in each case.
If you believe Silver and Tranter are together, you'd have to believe they would come out the gate voting for rooloo together (and then would agree to whack him night one). You'd also be believing that Tranter "saved" Rummy from the D1 runoff to vote with his teammate.
To believe it's SFA/Jortles/Silver, you'd have to remember that they ended D1R2 voting together, which of course is possible. In the four way, I had a revote and chose rooloo over LLL, which made it Tranter/Silver/Potent on Rooloo. Silver then moved his vote to LLL. I think this also rules out Jortles/LLL/Silver, as there's no reason for him to advance LLL there.
D1 three way was Silver/SFA/LLL. Odds are that at least one of those is mafia.
I’m a little confused why you’re still on Silver or even went to him in the first place. If there’s something I’m missing I’m all ears but this makes Silver look a little better (not a ton) and I’m not a fan of, in a game of switch offs and strange happenings, why you didn’t vote for cum based on her starting the voting. It just feels a little weak compared to everything else.
If you believe Silver and Tranter are together, you'd have to believe they would come out the gate voting for rooloo together (and then would agree to whack him night one). You'd also be believing that Tranter "saved" Rummy from the D1 runoff to vote with his teammate.
To believe it's SFA/Jortles/Silver, you'd have to remember that they ended D1R2 voting together, which of course is possible. In the four way, I had a revote and chose rooloo over LLL, which made it Tranter/Silver/Potent on Rooloo. Silver then moved his vote to LLL. I think this also rules out Jortles/LLL/Silver, as there's no reason for him to advance LLL there.
D1 three way was Silver/SFA/LLL. Odds are that at least one of those is mafia.
I’m a little confused why you’re still on Silver or even went to him in the first place. If there’s something I’m missing I’m all ears but this makes Silver look a little better (not a ton) and I’m not a fan of, in a game of switch offs and strange happenings, why you didn’t vote for cum based on her starting the voting. It just feels a little weak compared to everything else.
Again if there’s a stronger reason, go ahead
I have a town read on you. I think that coming out and being the first person to vote in a 4 way D4 is a bold call and Cum being the first feels like a town move to me. My vote for Silver was before I looked at any voting patterns or analysis that you quoted.
I'm more interested in why Silver is voting for me when he's more suspicious of Cum. Are you not? I'm assuming not, seeing as how you asked me but didn't ask him.
I’m a little confused why you’re still on Silver or even went to him in the first place. If there’s something I’m missing I’m all ears but this makes Silver look a little better (not a ton) and I’m not a fan of, in a game of switch offs and strange happenings, why you didn’t vote for cum based on her starting the voting. It just feels a little weak compared to everything else.
Again if there’s a stronger reason, go ahead
I have a town read on you. I think that coming out and being the first person to vote in a 4 way D4 is a bold call and Cum being the first feels like a town move to me. My vote for Silver was before I looked at any voting patterns or analysis that you quoted.
I'm more interested in why Silver is voting for me when he's more suspicious of Cum. Are you not? I'm assuming not, seeing as how you asked me but didn't ask him.
he said bc of a runoff right? In a runoff situation, someone would have to switch anyway
I have a town read on you. I think that coming out and being the first person to vote in a 4 way D4 is a bold call and Cum being the first feels like a town move to me. My vote for Silver was before I looked at any voting patterns or analysis that you quoted.
I'm more interested in why Silver is voting for me when he's more suspicious of Cum. Are you not? I'm assuming not, seeing as how you asked me but didn't ask him.
he said bc of a runoff right? In a runoff situation, someone would have to switch anyway
Right. That makes me feel better about my Silver vote. If he would have voted for Cum, it would have had to be me to create a runoff by voting for myself, which isn't going to happen.
he said bc of a runoff right? In a runoff situation, someone would have to switch anyway
Right. That makes me feel better about my Silver vote. If he would have voted for Cum, it would have had to be me to create a runoff by voting for myself, which isn't going to happen.
Sort of didn't finish my thought - so his vote was a defensive vote to save himself, not an offensive vote for the town to win the game.
Right. That makes me feel better about my Silver vote. If he would have voted for Cum, it would have had to be me to create a runoff by voting for myself, which isn't going to happen.
Sort of didn't finish my thought - so his vote was a defensive vote to save himself, not an offensive vote for the town to win the game.
I don’t really get the thought here
hypothetically, as town, a defensive play to save yourself is a vote to help town.
he said bc of a runoff right? In a runoff situation, someone would have to switch anyway
Right. That makes me feel better about my Silver vote. If he would have voted for Cum, it would have had to be me to create a runoff by voting for myself, which isn't going to happen.
yeah that's why I voted you. A runoff doesn't happen if I vote cum
We always do this shit as town. Force a runoff. Say you do get a runoff with me, tranter, and LLL. If there's another day you guys would totally drop whoever wasn't exiled from sus lists and then just go to potent or cum tomorrow. Runoffs solve nothing and don't provide any actual pressure to mafia
wow shocker I was totally right. Everyone that was in yesterday's runoff is suddenly no longer suspicious.
We always do this shit as town. Force a runoff. Say you do get a runoff with me, tranter, and LLL. If there's another day you guys would totally drop whoever wasn't exiled from sus lists and then just go to potent or cum tomorrow. Runoffs solve nothing and don't provide any actual pressure to mafia
wow shocker I was totally right. Everyone that was in yesterday's runoff is suddenly no longer suspicious.
I was in yesterday's runoff. I am in position to be voted off today. What are you talking about?
I read a defensive play to save yourself as a mafia move.
you want townies to put themselves in compromising positions on d4?
No, I want townies to vote off the people they think are suspicious. I think Cum and Silver are suspicious so I made a call on a gut reaction to the two of them. I also did it knowing that Silver would reciprocate for me. I hope Insane Cum Posse sees that and thinks twice.
you want townies to put themselves in compromising positions on d4?
No, I want townies to vote off the people they think are suspicious. I think Cum and Silver are suspicious so I made a call on a gut reaction to the two of them. I also did it knowing that Silver would reciprocate for me. I hope Insane Cum Posse sees that and thinks twice.
fact is, in a runoff, someone is gonna have to switch regardless. Someone’s gotta compromise eventually.
My votes on my #1. I doubt I move. Y’all figure out the rest.
Post by potentpotables on Mar 7, 2022 13:22:48 GMT -5
My vote is locked. You should all lock and vote me off. I don't really want to go back and forth with Silver on this, if nobody else agrees that he's sus then enjoy D5 (unless two of you are mafia together, then congrats).
Post by Insane Cum Posse on Mar 7, 2022 13:23:13 GMT -5
trantsgiving you’re just hilariously wrong. I’m town. And you’re doing a huge disservice to the rest of town by not listening. You’re shooting blanks from the hip. If you are town you need to reconsider. Either one of potent or silver is playing the hell out of you to make you think they’re not sus
We always do this shit as town. Force a runoff. Say you do get a runoff with me, tranter, and LLL. If there's another day you guys would totally drop whoever wasn't exiled from sus lists and then just go to potent or cum tomorrow. Runoffs solve nothing and don't provide any actual pressure to mafia
wow shocker I was totally right. Everyone that was in yesterday's runoff is suddenly no longer suspicious.
So, to recap - yesterday's runoff LLL/Tranter/Potent.
LLL - exiled, no longer eligible to be voted Potent - "doesn't count, wasn't really in danger" Tranter - for some reason Silver isn't voting for him under this theory?
I have no idea if Silver is mafia or town, but he's acting super sketchy and advocating for no runoff on D3 so we have a "better" runoff on D4...I must just be to stupid to understand what that even means.
My vote is locked. You should all lock and vote me off. I don't really want to go back and forth with Silver on this, if nobody else agrees that he's sus then enjoy D5 (unless two of you are mafia together, then congrats).
