Whether it's your first Bonnaroo or you’re a music festival veteran, we welcome you to Inforoo.
Here you'll find info about artists, rumors, camping tips, and the infamous Roo Clues. Have a look around then create an account and join in the fun. See you at Bonnaroo!!
Would be hilarious if RKF Jr runs as the Libertarian Party candidate. Outside of his batshit crazy views on vaccines his platform has nothing in common with the Libertarian Party.
How does he have nothing in common with them?
His environmental policies for one. Just his background in that is pretty far from them.
He has some platform ideas in common but most candidates would. I wouldn’t say it’s impossible for him to switch positions to take the spot I guess. He seems like the type that would.
Post by SupeЯfuЯЯyanimal on Mar 6, 2024 12:15:08 GMT -5
That’s not to say people working on independent elections haven’t made basic mistakes. They have and we’ve discussed them in here to some degree.
It’s just really hard talking to folks without spending most of your time defending shit that’s not even true or accurate to the history of the nation or certain political ideals that are often slung around.
Sort of but not really. You could have great candidates but if the voting populace is still made up of mostly old people and the highly partisan you’re still gonna get a lot of incumbents and party favorites winning every election. You still need campaign finance reform because it’s the right thing to do, but you’re not gonna get meaningful change to the system (or campaign finance reform) without significantly increased engagement.
To your other point, the people most dissatisfied with Biden are the ones least likely to vote in a primary. If there was a lane to run against Biden and even a reasonable certainty the electorate would have shown up, someone would have done it. Newsom or Pritzker could have easily dug up the money but both (correctly) judged the votes weren’t gonna be there
I don’t disagree but it’s also important to remember that running against power is insanely difficult. From local elections to Federal anyone running outside the system potentially faces a media that tends to have levers of control that favor big business. Even a candidate with a reasonable platform could face basic smear tactics that end up eating up the energy of a campaign.
Voter ignorance and apathy are real problems but it’s paired with a lifetimes of endless propaganda and a lackluster education system. Is there another Western nation besides maybe England that constantly have birdbrained debates about socialism where nobody seems able to define what they even mean by it? That’s just the most obvious example I can think of.
The math is interesting because the raw count in this case is more important than the percentage but you also have to consider that you are still estimating turnout in the general and that at least a percentage of those that vote uncommitted would actually vote for Biden in the general. Would also be interesting to see how many people registered to vote just to vote uncommitted.
IMO the Dems won't take it that seriously either way. Probably just in messaging. Just to get that out of the way. If they should or not is up for debate. If I were a strategists I'd be looking at Arab American voters and the youth vote to figure out what the trends might could tell me. You'd already start from there knowing those numbers are going to be down. But there is useful data here. Young kids signing up just to vote uncommitted points to young folks just not even bothering or purposefully sitting out/voting third party.
Yeah, I used 15% but doing the math that would end up around 125, 000 going off those early voting figures. That cuts Biden 2020 margin of victory down by about 3/4ths. That's starting to ring some alarm bells. Yeah, some are bluffing and some are likely 3rd party voters doing it to send a message. Which, good on them, it's about the only way they have to do it i guess. If people are willing to spend their time sending a message there are likely plenty of others that are just fed up and won't be back to vote for him at all.
I'm curious about people registering just for this too. I'm sure it happened but it seems some of the folks working on this were reaching out to Arab American voters they already had phone banked. These are people that have volunteered to GOV for Dems before so their data is legit. I'd bank of the new folks being somewhat marginal.
But it's also important to remember a primary is a completely different beast than a general election. The math could go jump a hundred different ways based on weather, traffic, flu, etc.
I doubt it stays at that high of a percentage. Likely big chunks of cities votes being counted. Folks that the “uncommitted” campaign targeted hard.
Is this actually a high number in historical context or is everyone just jumping on it to dunk on Biden? I genuinely don't know but would be good to actually compare it to past numbers.
Edit: Not attacking you for this. Just see a ton of people on twitter already doing this.
. I’m not sure. Like I said I don’t think it’s going to trend all night. If it did it would be close to the votes Trump lost by in 2020. I’d say over 15% would be significant and something strategists would actually need to worry about. For several reasons that would apply to any incumbent, much less one polling so low. However, he’s going against Trump. So favorability isn’t as telling.
You’d also need to look at the data on the voters. Along with how Dems run the primary in that state. It’s not a fluke but there could be some rat fucking bolstering it.
Post by SupeЯfuЯЯyanimal on Feb 26, 2024 13:16:15 GMT -5
What the fuck is the media good for if they tie themselves in knots to deny something so blatantly obvious?
If the worry is copycats then simply don’t report on it? But they have to. They gotta get clicks off the sensationalism of it all but, in that process, choose to blur realty.
The media, the military and some useless libs are making this about anything except what it’s actually about. Huff post wasn’t sure it was a political statement. Although he called it a political act before screaming “free Palestine” multiple times while on fucking fire.
Post by SupeЯfuЯЯyanimal on Feb 26, 2024 11:25:01 GMT -5
We will almost certainly be fighting/ running from the devil tonight.
So I’ll leave it up to yall if you want to wait. I’m back from trip one. I’ll be home by Monday night next week. And should be open to play any other night if we need to do that
Post by SupeЯfuЯЯyanimal on Feb 21, 2024 21:32:26 GMT -5
It’s unlike most of his films but maybe the most like him. Or you could say it contains several running motifs that Lynch revisits but it isn’t concerned with the decay and rot under the facade.
Based off some of these comments, sounds like I made the right decision in tuning out halfway through the season. Did the callbacks to the first season stay as forced as I heard they were?
Ehh, I get why people find it annoying but there were far worse problems with this season than the callbacks.
Post by SupeЯfuЯЯyanimal on Feb 13, 2024 17:12:51 GMT -5
I would say they often make it impossible to support them. “We aren't the GOP” is typically their best argument. And they can’t even get that right half the time without some smugness or insults. All around terrible at politics.
"He can't remember when his son died" is such an obvious hatchet job.
He remembers when his fucking son died. I’ve done hundreds of interviews in my career and the kind verbal ticks they’re highlighting in the transcript are pretty normal. Like ya, the dude’s 80 and slowing down, people have every right to be genuinely concerned about that. But that’s not what this is. Ask anyone who has had a very long and active career a couple hours of questions about stuff that happened 10-15 years ago and you’re gonna get quotes like this in the transcript.
There’s also a huge difference between remembing a loved one passing and recalling the year off hand. The way it’s being reported sometimes blurs what was being asked. I can’t even find the full context but it keeps saying “even within a couple years” of the event.
If you were to randomly ask me what year my mom died I’d have to do the math. Stuff like that can be a blur. Covid. Her being in the hospital. Getting better and then dying was over a two year period and i don’t really think about it in terms of exact dates. It’s just not how my mind works.
Now I could tell you where I was. Who was around me. What time I found out. Who told me. Who I first told. All sorts of details. But about 50/50 chance I’d have to pause to tell you the date. June 18 2022.