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Looks like mid-upper 80s during the weekend, about 70 at night, uncomfortable (for my standards) humidity, and a front passing through the area on Friday.
from the friend already on the farm: "Rain gear yall...for real dough. It's already gettin swampy."
eek! hopefully it's like last year - really muddy tues/wed before roo, calms down by thursday. we'll see. though having a reason to wear my unicorn poncho and umbrella hat simultaneously will be welcomed for a bit.
According to NWS, 20-30% chance of storms over the whole weekend with highs in the upper 80s and lows in the upper 60s. And that percentage of precip is pretty normal with a quick pop up shower.
According to NWS, 20-30% chance of storms over the whole weekend with highs in the upper 80s and lows in the upper 60s. And that percentage of precip is pretty normal with a quick pop up shower.
Sweet!
Besides being a bit cool, that's pretty typical southern weather right there. I can dig it!
AS THIS PATTERN BECOMES MORE ESTABLISHED ON THU IN PROVIDING A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO MOST OF THE MID STATE THAT DAY...ISO SHWRS/TSTMS TO SCT SHWRS/TSTMS SE/E DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS ON THU IS EXPECTED...WITH THE POTENTIAL OF ISO SHWRS/TSTMS LASTING INTO THU NIGHT. NW PORTIONS OF THE MID STATE WILL BE ON THE FRINGES OF THIS MOISTURE ADVECTION PATTERN AIR MASS...AND MAY CONTINUE TO REMAIN DRY THU THRU THU NIGHT.
AS FOR TEMPS...TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL VALUES FOR THE MID PORTION OF THE WORK WEEK. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS TODAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE UPPER 80S...LOW TO MID 80S PLATEAU. EXPECT A WARMING TREND AS SLY FLOW AGAIN BECOMES ESTABLISHED...WITH HIGHS WED AND THU GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S...MID 80S PLATEAU. LOWS WILL ALSO TREND A FEW DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WITH LOWS TONIGHT MAINLY IN THE MID 60S...LOWER 60S PLATEAU...WARMING TO AROUND 70...UPPER 60S PLATEAU BY THU NIGHT.
LONG TERM (FRI THRU TUE)... THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL FEATURE VERY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH A CHANCE FOR DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
A BERMUDA HIGH REGIME WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FRIDAY...WITH A 30-40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE TN VALLEY SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PUSHING TEMPS GRADUALLY HIGHER...AND LIMITING HEAT DRIVEN DEEP CONVECTION TO 20-30 PERCENT COVERAGE.
GFS MOS TEMPS LOOK MOSTLY REASONABLE...OUR STOCK MODEL BLEND DOES NOT LOOK QUITE WARM ENOUGH FOR THE PATTERN AND EXPECTED 850 MB TEMPS. LOWS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70. HIGHS WILL RANGE MOSTLY FROM THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90. DEW POINTS WILL BE IN THE STICKY MID TO UPPER 60S.
AS THIS PATTERN BECOMES MORE ESTABLISHED ON THU IN PROVIDING A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO MOST OF THE MID STATE THAT DAY...ISO SHWRS/TSTMS TO SCT SHWRS/TSTMS SE/E DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS ON THU IS EXPECTED...WITH THE POTENTIAL OF ISO SHWRS/TSTMS LASTING INTO THU NIGHT. NW PORTIONS OF THE MID STATE WILL BE ON THE FRINGES OF THIS MOISTURE ADVECTION PATTERN AIR MASS...AND MAY CONTINUE TO REMAIN DRY THU THRU THU NIGHT.
AS FOR TEMPS...TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL VALUES FOR THE MID PORTION OF THE WORK WEEK. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS TODAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE UPPER 80S...LOW TO MID 80S PLATEAU. EXPECT A WARMING TREND AS SLY FLOW AGAIN BECOMES ESTABLISHED...WITH HIGHS WED AND THU GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S...MID 80S PLATEAU. LOWS WILL ALSO TREND A FEW DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WITH LOWS TONIGHT MAINLY IN THE MID 60S...LOWER 60S PLATEAU...WARMING TO AROUND 70...UPPER 60S PLATEAU BY THU NIGHT.
LONG TERM (FRI THRU TUE)... THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL FEATURE VERY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH A CHANCE FOR DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
A BERMUDA HIGH REGIME WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FRIDAY...WITH A 30-40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE TN VALLEY SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PUSHING TEMPS GRADUALLY HIGHER...AND LIMITING HEAT DRIVEN DEEP CONVECTION TO 20-30 PERCENT COVERAGE.
GFS MOS TEMPS LOOK MOSTLY REASONABLE...OUR STOCK MODEL BLEND DOES NOT LOOK QUITE WARM ENOUGH FOR THE PATTERN AND EXPECTED 850 MB TEMPS. LOWS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70. HIGHS WILL RANGE MOSTLY FROM THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90. DEW POINTS WILL BE IN THE STICKY MID TO UPPER 60S.
from the friend already on the farm: "Rain gear yall...for real dough. It's already gettin swampy."
eek! hopefully it's like last year - really muddy tues/wed before roo, calms down by thursday. we'll see. though having a reason to wear my unicorn poncho and umbrella hat simultaneously will be welcomed for a bit.
It will dry up some, we have 2 solid days of sun and HOT today and tomorrow. We got a lot of rain yesterday though.....
AS THIS PATTERN BECOMES MORE ESTABLISHED ON THU IN PROVIDING A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO MOST OF THE MID STATE THAT DAY...ISO SHWRS/TSTMS TO SCT SHWRS/TSTMS SE/E DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS ON THU IS EXPECTED...WITH THE POTENTIAL OF ISO SHWRS/TSTMS LASTING INTO THU NIGHT. NW PORTIONS OF THE MID STATE WILL BE ON THE FRINGES OF THIS MOISTURE ADVECTION PATTERN AIR MASS...AND MAY CONTINUE TO REMAIN DRY THU THRU THU NIGHT.
AS FOR TEMPS...TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL VALUES FOR THE MID PORTION OF THE WORK WEEK. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS TODAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE UPPER 80S...LOW TO MID 80S PLATEAU. EXPECT A WARMING TREND AS SLY FLOW AGAIN BECOMES ESTABLISHED...WITH HIGHS WED AND THU GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S...MID 80S PLATEAU. LOWS WILL ALSO TREND A FEW DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WITH LOWS TONIGHT MAINLY IN THE MID 60S...LOWER 60S PLATEAU...WARMING TO AROUND 70...UPPER 60S PLATEAU BY THU NIGHT.
LONG TERM (FRI THRU TUE)... THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL FEATURE VERY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH A CHANCE FOR DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
A BERMUDA HIGH REGIME WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FRIDAY...WITH A 30-40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE TN VALLEY SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PUSHING TEMPS GRADUALLY HIGHER...AND LIMITING HEAT DRIVEN DEEP CONVECTION TO 20-30 PERCENT COVERAGE.
GFS MOS TEMPS LOOK MOSTLY REASONABLE...OUR STOCK MODEL BLEND DOES NOT LOOK QUITE WARM ENOUGH FOR THE PATTERN AND EXPECTED 850 MB TEMPS. LOWS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70. HIGHS WILL RANGE MOSTLY FROM THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90. DEW POINTS WILL BE IN THE STICKY MID TO UPPER 60S.
AS THIS PATTERN BECOMES MORE ESTABLISHED ON THU IN PROVIDING A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO MOST OF THE MID STATE THAT DAY...ISO SHWRS/TSTMS TO SCT SHWRS/TSTMS SE/E DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS ON THU IS EXPECTED...WITH THE POTENTIAL OF ISO SHWRS/TSTMS LASTING INTO THU NIGHT. NW PORTIONS OF THE MID STATE WILL BE ON THE FRINGES OF THIS MOISTURE ADVECTION PATTERN AIR MASS...AND MAY CONTINUE TO REMAIN DRY THU THRU THU NIGHT.
AS FOR TEMPS...TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL VALUES FOR THE MID PORTION OF THE WORK WEEK. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS TODAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE UPPER 80S...LOW TO MID 80S PLATEAU. EXPECT A WARMING TREND AS SLY FLOW AGAIN BECOMES ESTABLISHED...WITH HIGHS WED AND THU GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S...MID 80S PLATEAU. LOWS WILL ALSO TREND A FEW DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WITH LOWS TONIGHT MAINLY IN THE MID 60S...LOWER 60S PLATEAU...WARMING TO AROUND 70...UPPER 60S PLATEAU BY THU NIGHT.
LONG TERM (FRI THRU TUE)... THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL FEATURE VERY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH A CHANCE FOR DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
A BERMUDA HIGH REGIME WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FRIDAY...WITH A 30-40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE TN VALLEY SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PUSHING TEMPS GRADUALLY HIGHER...AND LIMITING HEAT DRIVEN DEEP CONVECTION TO 20-30 PERCENT COVERAGE.
GFS MOS TEMPS LOOK MOSTLY REASONABLE...OUR STOCK MODEL BLEND DOES NOT LOOK QUITE WARM ENOUGH FOR THE PATTERN AND EXPECTED 850 MB TEMPS. LOWS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70. HIGHS WILL RANGE MOSTLY FROM THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90. DEW POINTS WILL BE IN THE STICKY MID TO UPPER 60S.
You aren't fooling anyone.
This is an excerpt from the NWS Nashville WFO forecast discussion.
from the friend already on the farm: "Rain gear yall...for real dough. It's already gettin swampy."
eek! hopefully it's like last year - really muddy tues/wed before roo, calms down by thursday. we'll see. though having a reason to wear my unicorn poncho and umbrella hat simultaneously will be welcomed for a bit.
It will dry up some, we have 2 solid days of sun and HOT today and tomorrow. We got a lot of rain yesterday though.....
Also helps that it has been somewhat dryer than normal in central and eastern Tennessee over the last 30 days. Soil moisture is also running near to slightly below normal, so the ground should be able to take up some of the rain that fell yesterday.
thank god for nowhereman. keep our weather in check.
like I've said before (here or on facebook?) hopefully it's like last year where it's a bit muddy coming in, but dries up pretty quickly. and a little shower here and there.
Post by 3post1jack1 on Jun 9, 2015 12:29:06 GMT -5
Forecast update from NWS:
AS THIS PATTERN BECOMES MORE ESTABLISHED ON THU DOPAPOD PROVIDING A MOIST AND CRUNCHY JAMS TO MOST OF THAT TENT ON THAT DAY...FRI GRUNGY METAL SLUDGE TO PSYCHDLC FREAKOUT DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS PALLBEARER > KING GIZZ FRI IN THAT AND OTHER IS EXPECTED...WITH THE POTENTIAL OF ISO SHWRS/TSTMS/INTENSE METAL LASTING INTO BTBAM FRI THAT. PORTIONS OF THIS TENT EXPECT SYNTHY POP PERFECTION FROM TFF W/ CHANCE OF A XMAS FUCKING MIRACLE LATER THAT NIGHT. POST KL FRI WILL BE ON THE FRINGES OF WHAT ELECTRIC PATTERN DURING DEADMAU5...AND MAY CONTINUE TO REMAIN WEIRD THRU STS9.
AS FOR SAT...CHANCE OF RAINING BLOOD INCREASES AS DAY PROGRESSES.
Probably what will happen is exactly what happened last year.With temps of 87 and 90 tomorrow it will dry up pretty good. Rain on Thursday and Fri should be short rain incidents which will dry up with the Temps on Sat and Sunday. I think by Thur the grounds should be pretty dry
Coordinating with local WSMV meteorologist Paul Heggens now to create an in-depth, gif heavy, meme using, analysis of the Bonnaroo forecast. Should have it to you guys tomorrow.
Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 89. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph. Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 68. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Thursday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the morning. Thursday Night A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Friday A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Friday Night A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Saturday Night A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. South wind around 5 mph.
Sunday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 70.
Very warm and humid (for my blood anyway), chance of popup storms. It's been better (2012), but it's been worse (2010).
Coordinating with local WSMV meteorologist Paul Heggens now to create an in-depth, gif heavy, meme using, analysis of the Bonnaroo forecast. Should have it to you guys tomorrow.
Coordinating with local WSMV meteorologist Paul Heggens now to create an in-depth, gif heavy, meme using, analysis of the Bonnaroo forecast. Should have it to you guys tomorrow.
