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otter is gonna have the deciding vote here and that's best case scenario
I’m doing a full reread as we speak. Gonna take me a bit because I’m juggling a couple things. Can someone explain why everyone is so quick to clear Dan in the meanwhile? I haven’t gotten to that part yet (I’m on page 6...)
don't think anyone is clearing Dan. Just saying he's not one of the primary targets rn.
From my perspective, the only “loud” player that hasn’t been verified is Dan so he’s the wildcard. I still stand by saying we should have exiled Danbob over Silver because we’d essentially be down (from my perspective) 3 suspects with three exiles.
I think the challenge is we had 4-5 nearly all townies run up a lot of posts, so for the remaining 6, half of them were absolutely quiet, and half were probably normal volume but felt quiet because they were drowned out by the loud. At this point though it probably doesn’t matter because looking back at the votes and posts, most came from confirmed town roles.
I’m doing a full reread as we speak. Gonna take me a bit because I’m juggling a couple things. Can someone explain why everyone is so quick to clear Dan in the meanwhile? I haven’t gotten to that part yet (I’m on page 6...)
don't think anyone is clearing Dan. Just saying he's not one of the primary targets rn.
Just got some much needed food in my stomach and feel better. I know I mentioned this yesterday but I was busy launching a festival and had little time to read through ALL of that till I got to it. Once Jortles admitted to a fake reveal I knew I’d be under heat for humoring him before. Confused on why I’m mafia vibes other than that
Yeah, frankly, I don't blame the town one bit for getting rid of me and KPO. I know I'm town, but you have no way of knowing that, and using the splits is a good way to get at least the second.
Potent > KPO
instead of ahhhh shucks, don’t you have a theory???
The work was already done by the time I had a chance to get in the thread. I'm not going to repeat what others say just to up my post count. I always use the D1 vote to break up into groups. With me and KPO being the only two alive Tranter voters, it makes sense that if the split was 2-1 Kanye voters, or 1-2 Kanye voters, that we would go in eliminating the Tranter voters. Somebody on Tranter is probably mafia. It doesn't really matter if Silver was. I know I'm not, but that's not going to convince anyone. So I'm voting for KPO.
I also stated in the next post that you didn't quote that some people are skating by - I think that's you and Tranter. Some people I'm less convinced of than others - namely, Dan. I've been watching Dan closely - I know when we were mafia together two games ago, I told him what I thought his tell was, so I'm watching for that but either he's fixed it or he's town.
I made a bad read on Jortles, which pretty much screws me, and I get that.
Round One Jortles - 6 (Potent*, Dan*, Theo*, Otter*, Tranter*, ZIG*) Otter - 2 (Jortles, KPO*) KPO - 1 (Pablo)
Tranter > Pablo ZIG > Jortles Jortles > Otter Dan > Theo KPO > Otter Pablo > KPO Theo > Dan Tranter > Pablo > KPO Potent > Theo Otter > Dan ZIG > Jortles > Potent Potent > Theo > Jortles Dan > Theo > Jortles Theo > Dan > Jortles Otter > Dan > Jortles Tranter > KPO > Jortles ZIG > Potent > Jortles
Deadline is 10 am ET on Thursday, May 6th
FYI, the day 2 voting history has errors. The final tally was 7-1-1. My last vote should be ZiG > Jortles > Potent > Jort and KPO’s switch to Jortles is missing.
He hasn’t really helped his case when it wasn’t even decided and he kinda limped out. Town potent wrongly accused that I know would be throwing up voting pairs and other shit to poke a hole in the logic that may be pointing incorrectly at him....
Round One Jortles - 7 (Potent*, Dan*, Theo*, Otter*, Tranter*, ZIG*, KPO*) Otter - 1 (Jortles) KPO - 1 (Pablo)
Tranter > Pablo ZIG > Jortles Jortles > Otter Dan > Theo KPO > Otter Pablo > KPO Theo > Dan Tranter > Pablo > KPO Potent > Theo Otter > Dan ZIG > Jortles > Potent Potent > Theo > Jortles Dan > Theo > Jortles Theo > Dan > Jortles Otter > Dan > Jortles Tranter > KPO > Jortles ZIG > Potent > Jortles
I’ve been staring at the Day 1 votes and I’m going to guess it’s probably one of the latest times a Mafia first received a vote. We had 20 D1R1 votes. If you believe Tranter and ZIG are town, then the first 17 votes went confirmed town (Silver - 5, ZIG - 2, Theo - 4, Tranter - 2, Rummy - 2, Otter - 2).
Vote 18 Rummy voting Dan and Vote 20 ZIG voting Dan do we get votes for a potential mafia. If Dan isn’t mafia, we didn’t have a vote on mafia until my Day 2 opening vote on Jortles. The voting and activity pattern clearly shows it was basically all confirmed townies doing everything day one (other than Dan, and he was a last second toss in into the Day 1 runoff).
Danbob is next on my list and I probably need to read thru KPO and Pablo’s posts again to see if I’m missing anything.
Round One Jortles - 7 (Potent*, Dan*, Theo*, Otter*, Tranter*, ZIG*, KPO*) Otter - 1 (Jortles) KPO - 1 (Pablo)
Tranter > Pablo ZIG > Jortles Jortles > Otter Dan > Theo KPO > Otter Pablo > KPO Theo > Dan Tranter > Pablo > KPO Potent > Theo Otter > Dan ZIG > Jortles > Potent Potent > Theo > Jortles Dan > Theo > Jortles Theo > Dan > Jortles Otter > Dan > Jortles Tranter > KPO > Jortles ZIG > Potent > Jortles
