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Post by Funky Munky on May 24, 2011 18:47:39 GMT -5
Ask the people that live there and who have lived there a long time and they'll give you a great pool of likely outcomes. Have reasonable confidence in science. Sure, they are statistical models but statistically they are right (when relating relative proximity). I could basically tell you what the weather in Ormond Beach, Florida is going to be like the week of June 10, 2014 and get pretty close. It's going to be hot. It's going to rain in the afternoon. Anything that isn't that is likely going to mean it's better.
How much of a risk are tornadoes this year? 2009 scared the shit out of me and I remember reading a post that they had little to no plan for the majority of patrons. what would happen of there was a tornado at roo?
How much of a risk are tornadoes this year? 2009 scared the Leno out of me and I remember reading a post that they had little to no plan for the majority of patrons. what would happen of there was a tornado at roo?
i have been thinking this as well. i am not trying to be paranoid, just curious as to whether anyone thinks more of a plan could be put in place given the recent extreme weather throughout the midwest and south.
The likelihood of a tornado is very small. But it is possible. And realistically since tornadoes form so quickly, there is nothing to be done with 100,000 people crammed into a small area. Except pray maybe. Issuing warnings would likely do more harm than good by encouraging panic. There is no realistic way to provide any protection for that many people that quickly.
I personally worry about tornadoes about as much as I worry about getting struck by lightning, which is not at all. If you're worried, play attention to your surroundings and be aware of any low lying areas in which to take cover. Little else to be done.
Ask the people that live there and who have lived there a long time and they'll give you a great pool of likely outcomes. Have reasonable confidence in science. Sure, they are statistical models but statistically they are right (when relating relative proximity). I could basically tell you what the weather in Ormond Beach, Florida is going to be like the week of June 10, 2014 and get pretty close. It's going to be hot. It's going to rain in the afternoon. Anything that isn't that is likely going to mean it's better.
Seriously? ^
Conditions leading to tornadic storms are often predictable enough that Bonnaroo patrons would have just enough time to *consider* evacuation (~12 hrs), but I doubt many would. I left early in 2005 because of the threat of severe storms and a general disinterest in the closing acts. tinyurl.com/43mlma4
Last Edit: May 25, 2011 6:07:21 GMT -5 by coldfrontin - Back to Top
There is a thread on tornados somewhere 'round here. Honestly though there is pretty much nothin' that could be done should one come to pass. You've got some 80,000 people who are basically campin' out. Even if it were to come Thursday, you'd still have cars in line and whatnot as well.
Post by julieagulia on May 25, 2011 11:36:14 GMT -5
All of this terrible weather across the midwest is beginning to scare the leno out of me. Everyday theres another storm and another threat, I hope this shitty weather is over by the time Roo rolls around How tornado prone is this area of TN?
I'll bet anyone on this board two beers there will be no tornado. There will be heat. There will be a storm of some sort on one day. There will be no tornado.
Post by julieagulia on May 25, 2011 11:58:53 GMT -5
It's hard not to think about when my area of the midwest has been getting hit with really awful weather left and right. I can't tell you the last time a spring has been so god awful around here weather wise. Until then, Ill try to just keep thinking positive thoughts *Mild, 80 degrees, nice breeze, small shower or two*
Post by astandupguy on May 25, 2011 16:00:24 GMT -5
I say this and we'll all get blown away, but I've lived in TN my whole life and typically June, July, and August are not the months in which you have to worry about tornadoes. The worst months for severe weather are probably April and May, and it will pick up again a bit in the fall.
But like many have said......It. Will. Be. Hot. There is no way around that. And you never know when a completely random Wrath-of-God Thunderstorm is going to pop up, but they usually just last fifteen minutes or so. Again, not trying to jinx us, but we should be OK.
Here's another one. It's from Canadia. 30C for a high Thursday. By my calculations, that's 86. I hope the Canadians are better at predicting the unpredictable than accuweather.
Matteomoss: Maybe those weather services just neglected to add their error bars. I'm reading some terot cards tonight. They don't come with error bars.
Post by grizzlepickle on May 27, 2011 13:05:16 GMT -5
accuweather can suck it... I'm choosing to believe that it is 86degrees and partly cloudy until I get home from Roo. The weather can do what it wants, I'm just going to create my own reality.
accuweather can suck it... I'm choosing to believe that it is 86degrees and partly cloudy until I get home from Roo. The weather can do what it wants, I'm just going to create my own reality.
This is what I normally do but last year's weather kicked my reality square in the arse.